2023 Quaker State 400 odds, picks and predictions

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2023 Quaker State 400 odds, picks and predictions

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Atlanta Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2023 Quaker State 400. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 7 p.m. ET (USA Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook lines around the 2023 Quaker State 400 odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2023 Quaker State 400: What you need to know

  • Team Penske driver Joey Logano won the 1st stop in Atlanta on March 5
  • Logano’s win snapped a 3-race win streak at Atlanta by Chevrolet, although it was the 6th win by Ford in the past 9 starts at the track
  • Logano has a win, 3 top-5 finishes and 347 laps led with a 15.9 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 19 career Cup starts at the track
  • Dawsonville, Ga. native Chase Elliott of Hendrick Motorsports leads all active Cup drivers (min. 2 starts) with an 11.3 AFP
  • Aric Almirola finished with the fastest time in the final round of qualifying (31.261) and will be on the pole for Sunday’s race.
  • Team Penske driver Ryan Blaney has a win, 4 top-5 runs and 5 top-10 finishes in 10 Cup starts in Atlanta with 0 DNFs and a solid 11.6 AFP
  • Front Row Motorsports driver Michael McDowell has struggled in his 15 career Cup starts in Atlanta, posting a dismal 29.6 AFP with no top-10 finishes and 4 DNFs
  • Richard Childress Racing driver Austin Dillon has also had a hard time in Atlanta, managing just a single top-10 finish with a 21.5 AFP in 13 career Cup runs
  • Kyle Busch (2), Brad Keselowski (2) and Kevin Harvick (3) are the only active Cup drivers with multiple wins in Atlanta
  • Harvick also leads all active Cup drivers with 1,360 laps led and 5 DNFs in Atlanta

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2023 Quaker State 400 – Expert picks

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:22 p.m. ET.

CHASE ELLIOTT (+1200) is desperate for a win, and he is a great bet at his home track to get the job done.

The driver of the No. 9 machine has posted top-10 runs in 7 of his 9 career Cup starts, leading 164 laps while posting the 11.3 AFP. He missed the first race in Atlanta this season due to his snowboarding accident, with Josh Berry filling in and finishing 18th in his stead.

2023 Quaker State 400 – Long shot

Things haven’t exactly gone according to plan for KEVIN HARVICK (+2000) in his final Cup Series campaign, but he could change all of that in the blink of an eye.

Happy was a dismal 33rd in the first Atlanta race after starting out 6th. He has managed 7 top-10 finishes this season, including a runner-up in Darlington. He has also shown some signs of life lately, finishing 11th or better in 3 of the last 5 races, although he tumbled to 29th on the street race in Chicago last weekend.

COREY LAJOIE (+3500) is worth a look as a long shot bet in Atlanta. He was outstanding in the March race, turning in a surprising 4th-place finish. While he still has just 2 top-5 finishes, 19 laps led and a 21.4 AFP in 8 career Cup starts, he is still worth a roll of the dice.