2024 Super Bowl props: Bets, SGP, AI predictions, NFL picks for Chiefs vs. 49ers include Travis Kelce

Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy share top billing in terms of Super Bowl MVP odds, with Mahomes the slight favorite, but they also share the same player prop for passing touchdowns in The Big Game. Sportsbooks have their over/unders for passing TDs at 1.5 in the latest Chiefs vs. 49ers prop bets, and at first glance, many will lean towards the over for each QB. However, Purdy has thrown multiple touchdown passes just once over his last five games, while Mahomes has done the same once over his last four. Is this one of the 2024 Super Bowl props to go under?

You'll want to make sure you're going all-in on the Super Bowl 58 player props with the best chances of winning. Before betting any NFL props for 49ers vs. Chiefs or entering selections on sites like PrizePicks, you need to see the NFL prop predictions powered by SportsLine AI.

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine's Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each player's historical data and then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponent's defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score. 

Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. For example, you could see a 5-star rating on an over bet if a player is facing a poor defense, their prediction differs from the line and there are favorable odds.

In addition, SportsLine AI is the first fully automated predictive model at SportsLine. It continuously refreshes on the most recent available data and can help you spot the biggest discrepancies in the lines. So far this season, SportsLine's AI PickBot has hit a whopping 1,674 4.5- and 5-star prop picks. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Super Bowl 58, the AI PickBot has evaluated the NFL player prop odds and provided NFL prop picks for every available prop market. You can only see the AI player prop predictions for the 2024 Super Bowl here.

Top NFL player prop bets the 2024 Super Bowl

After analyzing Super Bowl 58 and examining the many NFL player props, the AI PickBot says Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce goes over 72.5 receiving yards. Kelce is in the discussion for greatest tight end in NFL history not just because of his regular-season accomplishments but due to his postseason success as well. He's averaged 86.2 receiving yards over 21 playoff games, which is the third-most all-time for any position (min. 10 games). He's gone over 72.5 yards in 12 of his 15 postseason games in which Mahomes has been under center.

Kelce has faced the Kyle Shanahan 49ers three times, including in Super Bowl LIV, and he's averaged 85 receiving yards in those contests. San Fran's defense was stout against the TE position in the regular season, but it has given up 17 catches to tight ends over two postseason games. Detroit's tight ends had over 100 receiving yards in the NFC Title Game, with TE Sam LaPorta leading the Lions with 97 yards. Given Kelce's prominence in Kansas City's offense, and the Niners' suddenly leaky defense against TEs, the AI model is backing the Over, with Kelce projected for 91.5 receiving yards. .  

How to make NFL player prop bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

In addition, the AI PickBot says another star sails past his total and has two other NFL props rated four stars or better. You need to see the AI PickBot's analysis before making any NFL prop bets for 49ers vs. Chiefs.