Arc de Triomphe tips, hints and analysis including how important is the draw at Longchamp?

Torquator Tasso is aiming to win the Longchamp Stakes on Sunday. Last year he was a 72/1 outsider. He was beaten 18 lengths by Alpinista at Hoppergarten. The German-trained horse won a Group One at Hamburg. Torquators is the eighth back-to-back winner in the race's history. The ground is already soft after rain on Monday. There is more rain forecast.

Sealiway, Bubble Gift, Alenquer, Broome and Deep Bond are still in the running for the Arc. Sealiway is winless in five since his Ascot victory. Last year's beaten quintet are 66/1. 30 horses that were beaten in Arc have come back for more in last decade.

The draw at Longchamp is important. The last three draws produced relatively small fields of 12, 11 and 14 runners. Stalls two and four have been the most successful with six winners each. Since 1980, the least productive stalls are one, nine, 16 and 17. The connections are hoping to avoid this weekend's wide draw. They want to focus on the starting gate. It is probably best to discard any starting-gate clues from the two renewals at Chantilly.

Luxembourg, Vadeni and Al Hakeem are going to race in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. None of them have run over 1m4f and the course is a testing circuit. Bago was the last horse to win the Arc having not won over 10 furlongs back in 2004. Sakhee won the race back before him in 2001.

Frankel has won 14 races in his career, but never the Arc. Alpinista, Westover, Mostahdaf and Onesto are the favourites for the race. The draw for Longchamp is important. The winner will be announced on Sunday. It is a big draw. There are four horses in the event. Frankel's trainer, Sir Henry Cecil, has a horse called Saumarez that has not run over 1m4f in its career. Saararez has sired an Arc winner.

Iresine, winner of the Prix Foy, can't run in the Arc. Sweet Lady, the winner from the Vermeille, isn't in it either. Simca Mille, a winner, won't be either, so it's unlikely that the trial winners will line up. La Parisienne was a notable eyecatcher in VerMeille. Verry Elleegant, third in Prix foy won’t run.

Titleholder is the clear Japanese number one. Do Deuce is a fairly big price at odds north of 25/1. Titleholder won the Kikuka Sho, the Tenno Sho and Takarazuka Kinen. Do deuce won't be a great surprise if he becomes the first Arc winner for Japan. The draw at Longchamp is important. It's a combination of softening ground and solid single-figure prices that makes me not back him.

William Haggas didn't need Baaeed for the Arc as he had this one at home. Alenquer is 100/1 to win the tournament.

Adlerflug's horse, Arc de Triomphe, is a Group One winner at Royal Ascot and a winner over 1m4f at Longchamp. He was beaten nearly seven lengths in this race last year. The horse has had excuses for his last two runs, not being suited by the Eclipse and outpaced in the Irish Champion.

Baaeed, Vadeni and Mishriff are the other horses entered in the Arc de Triomphe. John Gosden is trying something different after he was put in his place in Irish Champion Stakes. Mishraf won the Sheema Classic over the trip at Meydan last year. Vadani finished second to Vadezi in Coral Eclipse. Baaed finished third in King George.

Alpinista, Torquator Tasso and Alenquer are the favourites for Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe.  Alenquer is the outta-the-ballpark selection for the trifecta slot.

National Gambling Helpline and GamCareon offer advice on safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s.