Armed Forces Bowl: Game Preview, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction

Air Force Falcons take on Baylor Bears in the Armed Forces Bowl.

The Baylor broadcast can be found on the affiliates of the Baylor Sports Network, including flagship 1660 AM and 92.3 FM in Waco. The Air Force broadcast is found 740 AM (KVOR) in Colorado Springs and 104. 3 FM The Fan in Denver.

Baylor leads the all-time series 3-0. The last meeting was on October 22, 1977 in Waco.

Baylor lost to Texas on the road, 38-27, while Air Force defeated San Diego State on their road 13-3.

Air Force Falcons are playing in the Armed Forces Bowl. They are looking to win their fifth ten-win season in ten years. The Baylor Bears are coming off of a Big 12 championship game appearance in 2021.

Air Force has a good third-down offense and a very good fourth-quarter conversion rate. Baylor has one of the worst third down defenses in college football. The Bears are favored to win the game.

Siaki Ika is a first-team all-Big 12 selection at 6-foot-4 and 358 pounds. Brad Roberts may find it difficult to break a big play on the fullback dive. Wesley Ndago, Thor Paglialong, and Isaac Cochran are talented interior linemen.

Air Force needs to keep up their recent pass rush performances to make Baylor pay for passing too often. Vince Sanford took over against Colorado State with four sacks and Payton Zdroik's return from injury helped him notch 3.5 sacks down the stretch.

Blake Shapen was injured in mid-October and had a bad stretch in November. He didn't pass for more than 6 yards per attempt in three of four games. The weather may hinder his performance. On 138 first down throws, Shapan had 67.4% completion rate and 7.5 yards.

Richard Reese needs to get back on track after a quiet November. Baylor has a size advantage in the trenches over Air Force. The Bears' 14.6% stuff rate allowed ranks 25th in FBS, while Air force's 19.9% rate on defense is 39th.

Baylor's defensive backfields will be key to the success against Air Force. Devin Neal was the top-graded run defender during the season. Christian Morgan and Devin Lemear posted run-defense grades of 77.8 and 73.1. Mark Milton and A.J. McCarty are the Big 12's lowest graded cornerbacks.

Baylor is on the back foot after a difficult season. The game will come down to discipline. Roberts, Daniels and Eldridge III will be the key for the Falcons.