Australian Open: Sinner vs Baez Best Bets and Predictions

The second round of the Australian Open, one of the four biggest tennis events of the year, began on Tuesday and featured a few notable upsets in the men’s draw, specifically Frances Tiafoe losing to world No. 75 Tomas Mahac in straight sets. Jannik Sinner and Sebastian Baez both made relatively quick work of their second-round opponents, setting up a third-round matchup between the two young stars.

Sinner vs Baez Picks

• Pick 1: Sinner -3300
• Pick 2: Sinner 3-1 (+250)

Here’s a preview of their third-round match and some ideal Sinner vs. Baez best bets.

Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez Information

Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez

Location of the game: Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia

Date & Time: Friday, January 19 at TBD

How to Watch: ESPN and TSN (Canada)

Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez Recent Scores

Sinner has yet to drop a set in the tournament, beating Botic van de Zandschulp and Jesper de Jong in straight sets. He beat de Jong 6-2, 6-2, 6-2 in the second round. For his Australian Open stats in the match, he had seven aces, won 86 percent of points on first serve, and was 6-of-12 in breakpoint opportunities. He didn’t give de Jong one breakpoint chance.

Baez, meanwhile, needed four sets to win each of his matches, first against J.J. Wolf and then against Daniel Galan. He had just four aces in his match against Galan and recorded five double faults, but won 53 percent of points on second serve and was 6-of-20 on breakpoint opportunities. He won 12 points in a row at one point in the match.

Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez Analysis

This is the second career meeting for Sinner vs. Baez best bets. Sinner won their first match late last year in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, beating Baez in three sets 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, on hard courts. Sinner, a dominant player on hard courts, is 30-7 on the surface going back to last season. He’s 60-17 overall over the last 52 weeks and is coming off of a strong finish to 2023, leading Italy to win the Davis Cup.

A four-time winner on the ATP Tour, Sinner is a player with immense potential but is still chasing his first grand slam. His best-ever finish at the Australian Open is a quarter-final result in 2022. He was a semi-finalist at Wimbledon last year.

Baez, a 23-year-old Argentine, is into the third round in the Australian Open for the first time in his career. He has never been into the fourth round of a grand slam, and likely isn’t going to this year as Sinner is playing better than anybody on tour right now. With that said, he has a decent pedigree and could upend some tennis predictions.

Baez was just 1-7 in his last eight matches coming into the 2024 Australian Open. He’s 32-25 over the last 52 weeks, however, and has scored wins over top-20-ranked players, including Jiri Lehecka and Tomas Etcheverry. But he was winless against top-10 players last year.

Odds Breakdown for Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez

Sinner

Sinner is the obvious betting favorite in Sinner vs. Baez best bets with massive -3300 moneyline odds. Other tennis odds include Sinner to win the first set (-700), Sinner to win in straight sets (-200), and the match to be decided in five sets (+600).

Baez

Baez is a +1400 moneyline underdog and has tennis odds of +450 to win the first set. He also has +5000 odds to win in straight sets.

Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Baez Betting Pick and Prediction

Sinner is one of the players with the shortest odds to win the Australian Open and he very well could break through and win his first grand slam. Don’t overthink this one. Slam the Sinner moneyline, but don’t be surprised if Baez wins a set.

• Pick 1: Sinner -3300
• Pick 2: Sinner 3-1 (+250)

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