Avalanche vs Senators Prediction

pickdawgz.com

16 January 2024

The Colorado Avalanche will play the Ottawa Senators on Tuesday night at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Colorado has won three of their last four games, while Ottawa has lost five of their last six. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Avalanche vs Senators prediction.

Avalanche Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 28-13-3 this year after they lost to Montreal by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Colorado led 1-0 and 2-1, but needed a tying goal in the third, before Montreal won with about four minutes left. The Avalanche out shot Montreal by a total of 35-34 and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Colorado had defeated Toronto, Vegas, and Boston prior to that loss. The Avalanche are scoring 3.67 goals per game and they are allowing 3.07 goals against per game, while going 25% on the power play and 83% on the penalty kill. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 23 goals, 47 assists, and 202 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Ivan Prosvetov, who is 4-3-1 this season with a 3.16 goals against average and a .895 save percentage.

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 15-23-0 this season after they defeated San Jose by a score of 5-4 in their last game. Ottawa blew a 4-3 lead late in the third period, but they scored with five seconds left in the game for the win. The Senators out shot San Jose by a total of 41-18 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Ottawa had lost their previous five games against Buffalo, Calgary, Edmonton, Seattle, and Vancouver. The Senators are scoring 3.32 goals per game and they are allowing 3.68 goals against per game, while going 16.2% on the power play and 71.8% on the penalty kill. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with seven goals, 31 assists, and 106 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 8-15-0 this year with a 3.70 goals against average and a .884 save percentage.

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

The favorites have won each of the Senators' last eight games.
The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games.
The favorites have won the third period in six of the last seven games between the Avalanche and Senators.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Senators' last 10 Tuesday night games.

Colorado Avalanche Team Facts

The Avalanche have won seven of their last eight night games.
The underdogs have covered the puck line in five of the Avalanche's last six games at Canadian Tire Centre.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Avalanche's last five games as favorites against the Senators.
The underdogs have won the third period in five of the Avalanche's last six games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators' last four home games against the Avalanche.
Shane Pinto has recorded a point in eight of his last nine appearances with the Senators as home underdogs.
Erik Brannstrom has recorded at least one assist in five of the Senators' last six night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
Parker Kelly has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Senators this season (2).

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

Devon Toews has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Senators.
Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in five of the Avalanche's last six games as favorites against the Senators.
Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine appearances with the Avalanche as favorites against the Senators.
Nathan MacKinnon ranks T1st in the league for multi-point games (22) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.47).
The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in save percentage this season (.882).
The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for power play goals this season (42).
The Colorado Avalanche are one of only two teams with two players to record at least 40 assists this season (Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar).

Avalanche vs Senators Betting Prediction

Colorado is coming off of a loss in their last game against Montreal and they will be on a back to back, but we are getting them at a very favorable price here. The Avalanche have won seven of their last nine games and they are one of the higher scoring teams in the NHL. Ottawa has lost five of their last six games and 12 of their last 16, and they are allowing 3.68 goals against per game. I know the Avs are on a back to back and are starting a backup goalie, but they have to be the play here.