Sabres vs Senators Prediction

pickdawgz.com

24 October 2023

The Buffalo Sabres will play the Ottawa Senators on Tuesday night at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Buffalo has lost two of their last three games, while Ottawa has won three out of four games.

Sabres Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 2-4-0 this season after they lost to Montreal by a score of 3-1 on Monday night. Buffalo tied the game at one in the first period, but they were unable to score for the rest of the game in the loss. The Sabres out shot Montreal by a total of 37-27 and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Buffalo’s two wins this season came against the Islanders and Lightning. The Buffalo Sabres are scoring 2.40 goals per game and they are allowing 3.00 goals against per game, while going 6.3% on the power play and 94.7% on the penalty kill coming into Monday’s game. Rasmus Dahlin has led the Sabres this year with six assists and 17 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who is making his first appearance of the year.

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 3-2-0 this year after they lost to the Detroit Red Wings by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Ottawa scored the first goal in this game, but Detroit answered with five straight goals to give the Senators a loss. The Senators out shot Detroit by a total of 37-23 and went 1-6 on the power play in the game. Prior to that loss, Ottawa had won three games in a row against the Capitals, Lightning, and Flyers. The Ottawa Senators are scoring 4.20 goals per game and they are allowing 3.00 goals against per game, while going 22.7% on the power play and 76.2% on the penalty kill. Brady Tkachuk has led the Senators this year with four goals, two assists, and 21 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 1-2-0 this season with a 4.03 goals against average and a .865 save percentage.

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

The Senators have won each of their last 10 night games against the Sabres following a home loss.
The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last eight home games following a loss.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in seven of the Senators' last eight games following a loss.
The Senators have won the third period in each of their last six night games at Canadian Tire Centre following a loss.

Buffalo Sabres Team Facts

The Sabres have lost seven of their last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
The Sabres have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
The Sabres have won the third period in eight of their last nine night games against the Senators following a home loss.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in five of the Sabres' last six games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

Tim Stuetzle has scored a goal in four of the Senators' last five night games.
Drake Batherson has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 Tuesday night home appearances.
Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of the Senators' last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Jake Sanderson has the most Power Play Goals for the Senators this season (2).

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

Jeff Skinner has scored a goal in each of the Sabres' last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Jeff Skinner has recorded at least one point in eight of the Sabres' last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres' last five games.
Rasmus Dahlin has the equal-most Power Play Points for the Sabres this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

The Ottawa Senators ranks 2nd in the league for shots against per game this season (26.8).
The Ottawa Senators ranks T2nd in the league for goals in Period 1 per game this season (1.40).
The Buffalo Sabres ranks 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (90.91%).
The Buffalo Sabres ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (1).

Pick

Both of these teams are coming off of a loss, but Buffalo will be on the second game of a back to back here. The Sabres are in a tricky spot with their goaltending, after Devon Levi got hurt. Ottawa was playing very well, but they ran into a very good Detroit team over the weekend. I think the Senators are going to continue with their solid play in this game, especially against a Buffalo team on the second game of a back to back. Buffalo struggled on Monday and I am going to fade them here. Take the Senators to get the win.