Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction 8-10-23 MLB Picks

The Houston Astros and the Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB action from Oriole Park. This matchup marks the final installment in a three-game series. Houston eked out a victory in the Tuesday opener, then in game two the Astros rolled to a six-run win to keep it going. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Houston Astros 

The Astros came back from an early 5-0 deficit in the opener of this set, eventually winning 7-6 thanks to five RBI (four via grand slam) and two runs from Kyle Tucker. On Wednesday in game two, Houston put up four runs in the eighth inning during an 8-2 win. Jose Altuve finished with three hits, two runs and three RBI in the victory. 

In the starter role for the finale the Astros are sending out Hunter Brown. This year in his 21 starts Brown is 8-7 with a 4.07 ERA and 130 Ks in 117.1 innings. Brown is 2-3 with a 4.71 ERA in his last seven starts, giving up 19 earned in 36.1 innings total. 

Houston Astros Team Facts

• The Astros have won each of their last 10 Thursday day games.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Thursday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Astros' last three games.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Tucker ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.517) this season.

Baltimore Orioles 

Over on the Baltimore side, they couldn’t get much going offensively after the second inning on Tuesday. Adley Rutschman, Ryan Mountcastle and James McCann each had two RBI in the loss. In game two the O’s couldn’t score outside of the fourth inning. Austin Hays had a two-run homer as the only RBI on the day. 

Dean Kremer will take the starting job for the Thursday finale. Kremer is 10-4 with a 4.61 ERA and 115 Ks in 125.0 innings over 23 starts this year. In his last seven starts combined Kremer is 2-1 with a 4.86 ERA and 20 earned in 37.0 innings. 

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

• The Orioles have won each of their last eight day games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last 14 Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Thursday games as home underdogs.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last four home games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Baltimore Orioles ranks T3rd in the league for doubles this season (217).
• The Baltimore Orioles ranks T6th in the league for triples this season (20).
• The Houston Astros ranks T28th in the league for triples this season (9).
• The Houston Astros ranks 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.79).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’m going to try the Astros here. You could make a case either way, though; we should have a great matchup in the finale. Brown has just six earned in 18.0 innings over his last three starts. He’s 2-0 in that time and has gone at least 6.0 innings in each outing. As for Kremer, he’s got six earned in his last trio over 16.1 innings of work. I like both starters to do well in this one. On Wednesday Houston had a pretty good offensive evening all the way around, with three different players posting at least two RBI. I think Houston will keep it up in this finale and power out another victory for the sweep.