Best bets for Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

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Currently the #5 seed in the NBA’s Eastern Conference, the Cleveland Cavaliers could put some serious distance between themselves and the sixth-seeded Miami Heat with a victory on Tuesday. Cleveland is 31-21 on the season, while Miami is 28-23. Victory would leave the Cavs four games ahead in the win column and three lesser in the loss column.

The best factor that the Cavaliers have working in their favor might be that the game is scheduled for Cleveland’s Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. The Cavaliers have won two in a row and three out of four over the Heat on their home court. That includes a 113-87 victory on Nov. 20.

Against all opposition, Cleveland is 5-1 straight up through the club’s past six home games. As well, the Cavaliers are 3-1 SU in their last four games against the Heat.

For the season, Cleveland is 21-5 SU at home. The Denver Nuggets (22) are the only NBA team with more home-court victories than the Cavaliers. Miami is 11-14 SU on the road this season.

Oddsmakers have set the Cavaliers as 5-point home favorites over the Heat.

Cleveland is 26-23-3 against the spread this season. At home, the Cavaliers are an NBA-best 17-8-1 ATS, a 68% cover rate. They’re 16-8-1 (66.7%) as the home chalk.

At 19-29-3 ATS, Miami’s cover percentage of 39.6% is second-worst among NBA squads. The Heat are a bit better ATS club on the road, going 10-13-1 (43.5%). They are 5-6 (45.5%) as a road underdog.

Miami is 1-4 ATS over the past five games and 2-4 ATS through the last six road games. However, the Heat are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games against Cleveland.

The Cavaliers show a 5-3 ATS slate in their past eight games. At home, Cleveland is 3-1 ATS in the last four games.

When the Cavaliers beat the Heat in November, power forward Evan Mobley turned in a double-double. He recorded 15 points and 10 rebounds. Mobley is coming off a pedestrian game against the Los Angeles Clippers in which he scored just nine points. However, he was good for nine boards.

Mobley’s rebound total for this Miami game is set at 8.5. He’s gone over that number in each of his past three games and in five of the last seven games. Take over on Mobley rebounds at -111.

Guard Darius Garland has proven to be a dishin’ magician of late for the Cavaliers. He’s passed out 23 assists through Cleveland’s past two games. Garland has reached double digits in apples in six of his last 10 games.

He’s offering even more of a helping hand on home court. In Garland’s last six home games, he’s averaging 9.33 assists per game. During that stretch, he’s never gone below eight assists in a single game at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse.

Garland’s assist total for this game is established at 7.5. Make a play on the over at odds of +114.

Parlays are a method to make a small wager and create the potential for a significant return. Same-game parlays enable you to achieve this entirely via wagers on one game.

For this Miami vs. Cleveland tilt, we’re going to begin by taking the Cavaliers on the moneyline at -205. Cleveland’s 5-1 mark over the past six home games and 3-1 home late through the last four when facing Miami make this a logical starting point.

Next, add Garland to collect 6+ assists at a betting line of -290. His recent run of high-assist games at home are well-detailed above. As well, Garland dished out six assists when the Cavs toppled the Heat in November.

Finally, we’re going to factor in Cleveland swingman Isaac Okoro to hit 1+ 3-point field goals. He’s drained exactly one shot from beyond the arc in four of the past five games. Every once in a while, though, Okoro goes off from long range. He hit four threes in a game at Memphis and also hit four times from downtown when playing at Phoenix. In that Nov. 20 game against Miami, Okoro was good for a pair of threes.

You’ll get -150 odds on him scoring at least one three against the Heat. Add all three of these plays together and the same-game parlay odds are +205. A $10 wager at this betting line will return a payout of $30.60.

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