Best NFL Bets This Week: NFL Week 1 Betting Picks & Predictions

• The Broncos are overvalued after switching to Sean Payton as their head coach, as their roster is not meanitfully better than it was previously.
• The Raiders pass rush should cause problems for the Broncos and a quarterback in Russell Wilson who holds onto the ball for entirely too long.

When it comes to online sports betting, wagering on the NFL is king. All season long, we have you covered with the best NFL betting picks each week, as our team of expert handicappers looks through the slate of games and finds the best betting picks to help you build your bankroll.

Best NFL Bets For Week

NFL Best Bet #1: Raiders +4 (-112) over Broncos

Our first NFL best bet for Week 1 is for the Las Vegas Raiders to cover the spread against the Denver Broncos. Vegas has the pass rush to make things very difficult on Russell Wilson, even if the Broncos upgraded their head coach by bringing in Sean Payton. Look for this to be a field goal game in either direction.

Best NFL Bets This Week

With a ton of NFL betting options available each week, it is hard to decide what to bet on and what to avoid. Fortunately, our expert NFL handicappers do the hard work for you, breaking down each game and coming up with the best ways to find value in the National Football League. Be sure to come back here each week for the latest best bets in the NFL, from the biggest games of the week to the least attractive games on the board.

How Do We Pick Our Best NFL Bets?

Our NFL best bets are selected using a number of methods. Our NFL betting experts use their own modeling to set their own lines, comparing them to the actual lines from online sportsbooks to determine where there is value in the betting markets. But that is just the beginning of the processes that they use to determine which wagers make the cut for each week of the NFL schedule.

Along with doing their own modeling, our NFL bettors make sure to examine the statistics, injury reports, and all other pertinent information surrounding each team going into each week. While the NFL is the hardest betting market to beat year in and year out, our team does everything it can to find the most value in the marketplace every week.

Types of Free NFL Picks We Make

On this page, you will find a few main types of NFL best bets. We cover markets like props, parlays, and teasers on the pages that we have linked to below. But as far as our best NFL bets this week, bettors can find the following types of wagers on this page on a regular basis.

The point spread is by far the most popular betting market when wagering on football. The goal of this market is for bettors to predict which side will end up with a higher score after the point spread is applied to each game. For example, if a team is favored by six points in a game, they have to win by seven or more points to cover the spread. If a team is a six-point underdog, they just need to lose by five or fewer points or win the game in order to cover.

In the NFL, no point spread is safe until a game is fully over. Late offensive and defensive touchdowns can have an impact on any point spread wager in any game, and bettors should be mindful of that before they place any wagers in this market every year in the NFL.

NFL Over/Under Picks

Another incredibly popular type of NFL best bet is the over/under, which asks bettors to predict how much scoring will happen in each NFL game. Sportsbooks will set a total for each game, and bettors are then asked to predict whether the score of the game will go over or under that amount. For example, a sportsbook may set a total for a game at 45.5 points. If the total score of the game is 46 points or more, the over will be the winner, while 45 or fewer points will mean the under is the winning side.

The key to betting on over/unders in the NFL is understanding the ways both teams play football. Everything from individual matchups to the tempos that teams use can greatly impact the outcome of any over/under bet. Fortunately, we break down all of those elements before recommending any over/under wager.

NFL Moneyline Picks

Moneyline betting is incredibly easy for bettors to understand, as the goal is to simply predict which team will win each NFL game. Of course, predicting which team will win any NFL game is easier said than done, as even the worst teams in the NFL find a way to spring upsets on their opponents from time to time. But we work to find instances where the chance of winning is greater than the odds for that game, to deliver maximum value in the moneyline betting market.

Does ATS Use NFL Computer Picks?

NFL computer picks are a part of the betting strategy here at ATS, as our handicappers do their own modeling using data that they collect from each NFL season. All of that work is done by our in-house handicappers to identify unique betting opportunities that cannot be found anywhere else. That is what makes ATS your one-stop shop for all of the best NFL bets this week and every week.

Strategy is everything when betting on the NFL, as avoiding impulsive betting is the key to success in a league that sportsbooks have perfected from an odds making standpoint. Fortunately, our NFL experts have their strategies for betting on the NFL, which include the strategic elements listed below.

Look At Historical Data Intelligently

Every week in the NFL, you will see trends cited as reasons to bet on NFL games. Sometimes, those trends are worthwhile, while other times those trends are completely worthless. Bettors should always apply proper context to the trends that they are using in order to make the smartest possible wagers. We always take a closer look at the data we use to justify our selections to give you the best possible recommendations.

Injury Reports Are Your Friend

Quarterback play and skill position players are the most popular players in the NFL, but diving into injury reports at other positions is essential to success betting on football. Understanding which key players at less glamorous positions are out can help bettors understand why betting lines are set the way they are. If nothing else, this will help you make the most informed decisions possible on a weekly basis.

Use Proper Bankroll Management

More important than anything else is the fact that bettors should manage their betting bankroll responsibly. Wins and losses will come every week in the NFL, and managing your money properly is the key to maximizing those wins and overcoming the losses without significant financial damage. Bettors should wager the same amount on each NFL game, stick to their top picks, and avoid chasing losses to be as financially sound as possible.

Other NFL Best Bets

Along with our best NFL bets this week listed above, bettors should click the links below to get our best bets in a number of other areas of NFL betting.