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Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Pick

Zac Gallen’s postseason performance hasn’t been stellar, with a 5.48 ERA in four starts, although it’s worth noting that he surrendered nine runs in two starts against the Phillies before their offense slowed down. On a more positive note, he limited his opponents to just two runs in his first two postseason starts against the Brewers and Dodgers.

Gallen’s ability to pitch deep into games is evident, as he completed five innings in all four of his postseason starts, with six innings in two of them. Over the course of 38 starts in the regular season and playoffs, he averaged more than six innings per outing.

However, the increased chances of walking two batters in the playoffs due to shorter starter leashes make pregame wagers on walks a bit riskier. Nevertheless, Gallen’s performance in this regard is notable, as he walked two batters in each of his four postseason starts and in seven of his last 10 dating back to the regular season. Additionally, it’s essential to acknowledge that Gallen tends to struggle more on the road, having walked two batters in each of his last five road starts. In the current postseason, he has successfully achieved this line on the road 57% of the time.

When facing the Rangers lineup, it’s essential to recognize their proficiency in drawing walks, ranking eighth in the majors in Walk Rate during the regular season and second in the postseason. Furthermore, Gallen has issued walks to prominent batters like Semien, Seager, and Nathaniel Lowe in his career. If he can pitch for five or six innings and walks two of the 20 batters he faces, this line becomes a winning bet.

Pick: Zac Gallen over 1.5 walks -160