Blue Jays betting trends: Kevin Gausman is stumbling down the stretch

Toronto Blue Jays have their second-last off-day. The team is well-positioned for a postseason run. They are a wild-card team, but they will have to fight with Tampa Bay Rays and Seattle Mariners for seeding.

Kevin Gausman has a 5.40 ERA over his last five starts. He's allowed at least four runs on three occasions. His success is heavily dependent on his splitter. Alek Manoah has better fWAR (3.7) than Ghausman (5.2). He has never gone fewer than five innings or allowed more than four earned runs in an outing.

Jose Berrios has had wild swings in performance since his Opening Day disaster. He's made some changes to his pitch mix in September and has a 2.45 ERA in three September starts. His changeup rate has increased and his breaking ball usage has declined. Berio's a better bet to suppress runs than his season-long numbers suggest.

Danny Jansen is back to his old form after a midseason slump. He's hit .337/.468/.679 since August 15. Jansen's season has flown under the radar because he doesn't play every day.

Jansen has had more walks than strikeouts over a period of 18 games this season. Kevin Gausman is stumbling down the stretch.

Yusei Kikuchi and Mitch White have not filled the fifth starter's role this month. The Blue Jays have used bullpen days instead of starting pitchers. They are 2-3 against subpar opposition in this period. Their opponents' average score is 4.12 runs per game. The team's average defence is 5.2 runs.