Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Toronto Blue Jays (71-59) host the Cleveland Guardians (61-69) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Blue Jays are favored (-222) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:37 PM ET from Rogers Centre.

Toronto’s Yusei Kikuchi gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Noah Syndergaard.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds

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Blue Jays and Guardians Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have put together a 50-44 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 53.2% of those games).

Toronto has gone 5-3 (winning 62.5% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -222 or shorter.

The Guardians have won 26, or 41.3%, of the 63 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Cleveland has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +185.

The Blue Jays have had an over/under set by bookmakers 130 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 52 of those games (52-73-5).

The Guardians and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 128 opportunities.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays have the No. 17 offense in baseball scoring 4.5 runs per game (579 total runs).

Toronto is 18th in baseball with 151 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

The Blue Jays rank eighth in the majors with a .257 batting average.

Toronto’s batters strike out 8.1 times per game, the eighth-lowest average in baseball.

The 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Blue Jays pitching staff ranks second in MLB.

Toronto has a 3.71 team ERA that ranks second among all MLB pitching staffs.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians have scored 520 runs (just four per game) this season, which ranks 28th in MLB.

Cleveland has hit just 98 homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

The Guardians have a team batting average of .247 this season, which ranks 18th among MLB teams.

Cleveland has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only seven times per game on average.

The Guardians have an 8.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in baseball.

Cleveland has pitched to a 3.84 ERA this season, which ranks fourth in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Kikuchi (9-4 with a 3.52 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 133 2/3 innings pitched) tries for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 26th of the season.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads Toronto in home runs with 19 and runs batted in with 74.

Bo Bichette leads Toronto in batting with a .314 average while slugging 18 homers and driving in 62 runs.

George Springer is slashing .254/.320/.398 this season for the Blue Jays.

Whit Merrifield has collected 133 hits this season and has an OBP of .332. He’s slugging .410 on the year.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

The Guardians will hand the ball to Syndergaard (2-6) for his 18th start of the season.

Jose Ramirez has a team-best batting average of .276, while leading the Guardians in home runs (20).

Steven Kwan is batting .270 with 28 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 52 walks.

Andres Gimenez is batting .237 with 21 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks.

Will Brennan is batting .257 with 20 doubles, five home runs and 11 walks.

Blue Jays and Guardians Injuries

Blue Jays: Hagen Danner: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Adam Cimber: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Otto Lopez: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Erik Swanson: day-to-day (Back)

Guardians: Josh Naylor: 10 Day IL (Side), David Fry: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Cal Quantrill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Kelly: 15 Day IL (Back), Shane Bieber: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Will Brennan: day-to-day (Knee)