Bold Predictions in Review: Sean Roberts

Sean Roberts has been writing Bold Predictions in Review each year. He wants to find out if he has any biases in his approach.

Mike Trout finished 29th in Razzball's player rater at the end of the season. He's not running anymore and his team's performance prevents gaudy run and RBI numbers.

Fewer than five pitchers record 15 wins or more this year. It's tied for the second fewest in baseball history. With the pitch clock coming and more balls in play next season, expect the trend to continue.

Cody Bellinger and Christian Yelich finished with 33 combined homeruns. Yelch did contribute 19 steals, but Bellerin hit just .210.

The league-wide strikeout rate has dropped for the second straight year. MLB wants to move away from the three true outcomes.

Carlos Rodón was drafted as the 29th player off the board on average in 2022. Rodon was not announced as a finalist for the NL Cy Young.

Hayes finished 29th in the league. He has produced under 10 home runs and average on-base skills since his debut in 2020.

The Blue Jays did not win the AL.

Joey Gallo finished as the 172nd-best player on the Razzball player rater for OBP leagues. He's striking out more and walking less. Next season he could benefit from the shift going away.

Sean Roberts predicts that Grossman will be the 587th-best player on the player rater in 2022. Kelenic will finish 1,141st.

Sean Roberts made some bold predictions for his fantasy team. He feels good about his process.

Gallo and Trout have had disappointing seasons. This is probably a form of loss aversion bias on my part. For drafts this year I'm going to collapse the “name” column of my projections spreadsheet as I’m making my initial pass at rankings.