Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG odds, picks and predictions
Borussia Dortmund (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) welcome PSG (2-1-2) to Signal Iduna Park Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Dortmund is 7-4-3 through 14 league matches. It sits 5th in the Bundesliga, the top league in Germany. Dortmund is a strong 5-1-2 at home this season and is averaging 2 goals per game. It is led in scoring by F Niclas Fullkrug, who has 5 goals in 12 matches. Dortmund lost 2-0 to PSG on the road on Sept. 19, the 1st group-stage match between these powerhouses.
PSG have been more dominant in league play and less dominant in UEFA action. They are 11-3-1 in Ligue 1, the top French league. PSG are 5-2-0 on the road and have averaged 2.53 goals per game. They are led in scoring by 24-year-old F Kylian Mbappe, who has tallied 15 goals in 14 matches. PSG are 0-0-2 in Champions League action on the road, losing 2-1 to AC Milan and 4-1 to Newcastle United.
Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:53 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline:
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +100 | U: -135)
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Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG picks and predictions
Prediction
PSG 1, Borussia Dortmund 0
BET PSG (-115).
There’s no real reason for Dortmund to give heavy minutes to its best players here other than being at home. It has 10 points and has clinched qualification. Dortmund was also dominated by PSG on the road. While it lost just 2-0, it had 1.7 fewer expected goals and just 33% of the possession.
PSG are in a situation in which, if they win, they advance. With the most lethal striker on the field in Mbappe, PSG are the better play. They also have had as many or more expected goals in every Champions League game, so their 2-1-2 record is a bit misleading.
Regardless, back PSG (-115).
BET ALTERNATE UNDER 2.5 (+175).
The value of the total is based on a dynamite PSG attack and a struggling Dortmund defense. However, Dortmund has 3 clean sheets in 5 Champions League games and has allowed just 3 goals through those 5 games. The 1st matchup between these sides went under this total as well.
PSG have 2 clean sheets themselves and have scored more than 1 goal in just 2 of 5 games, so their attack hasn’t been as dominant as expected. They have also tallied just 5 goals in 3 games, and 2 of their last 3 throughout all competitions have ended with fewer than 3 total goals scored.
Back UNDER 2.5 (+175).
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