AC Milan vs. PSG odds, picks and predictions
AC Milan (0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) welcome PSG (2-0-1) to San Siro Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the AC Milan vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
PSG sit 1st in Ligue 1, the top French league. They have scored 26 goals and allowed 9 through 11 league matches. In Champions League action, PSG have a 3-0 home win over Milan and a 2-0 home win over Dortmund while also having a 4-1 road loss to Newcastle United. F Kylian Mbappe leads the team with 10 goals in 10 league matches.
AC Milan sit 3rd in Serie A, the top Italian league. They are 3-0-2 at home. AC Milan have scored 18 goals and allowed 12 through 11 league matches. In Champions League play, they have struggled, drawing Newcastle 0-0 at home and Dortmund 0-0 on the road while losing 3-0 to PSG on the road. AC Milan have lost 3 of their last 4 throughout all competitions.
AC Milan vs. PSG odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:53 p.m. ET.
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -140 | U: +100)
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AC Milan vs. PSG picks and predictions
Prediction
AC Milan 1, PSG 1
SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).
AC Milan haven't played well as of late, but they have competed well in Champions League play outside of a brutal road loss to PSG.
They have been within an expected goal of their opponent in all 3 games and have had more expected goals in both matches against Newcastle and Dortmund. They should be better at home. AC Milan have drawn 2 of 3 Champions League matches.
PSG lost their lone Champions League road match 4-1 yet had as many expected goals as their opponent in that battle. They have drawn 3 of 11 matches this season in Ligue 1 action, 2 of which were on the road.
At this value, take DRAW (+260) for a small unit.
BET UNDER 2.5 (+100).
AC Milan have gone Under in 5 of their last 7 games throughout all competitions. Their games have ended scoreless in 2 of 3 Champions League matches, and they have scored just 3 goals in their last 6 matches throughout all competitions.
PSG have scored 3 goals in 5 straight matches but had just 1.3 expected goals in their 1st match with Milan and scored 3 goals in their 1st 2 group-stage Champions League matches.
Expect a slower game on the road, and back UNDER 2.5 (+100).
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