Newcastle United vs. PSG odds, picks and predictions
Newcastle United (0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) welcomes PSG (1-0-0) to St. James’ Park Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Newcastle United vs. PSG odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
In the group of death, Newcastle drew AC Milan 0-0 in the 1st matchday while PSG beat Borussia Dortmund 2-0.
Newcastle sits 8th in the EPL, the top English league, and is 3-0-1 at home this season. It is averaging 2.57 goals per game while allowing 1.00 per game. Newcastle is led offensively by F Alexander Isak and F Callum Wilson, both of whom have 4 league goals. Newcastle ended its match against Milan with 1.6 fewer expected goals.
PSG sits 5th in Ligue 1, the top French league. It is 1-2-0 on the road this season. PSG’s strength is in its defense, allowing just 6 goals through 7 matches. Offensively, it is averaging 2 goals per game and is spearheaded by superstar F Kylian Mbappe, who has 7 goals in 6 matches. PSG had 1.7 more expected goals in its 1st Champions League match against Dortmund.
Newcastle United vs. PSG odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 a.m. ET.
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Newcastle United vs. PSG picks and predictions
Prediction
Newcastle United 1, PSG 1
SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).
Newcastle has lost 3 matches in EPL play this season. Two of them were on the road to Man City and Brighton and the other was at home 2-1 to Liverpool in which Newcastle had 1.1 more expected goals. It has had 0.9 or more expected goals than its opponent in all 4 home league matches. It has the talent to hang with PSG.
PSG beat Borussia 2-0 which is impressive, but it hasn’t been overly stunning otherwise. PSG is 1-2-0 on the road this season. It has the high-end talent in D Achraf Hakimi, F Ousmane Dembele and Mbappe, but the consistency hasn’t been there. Expect them to let Newcastle hang around in this match.
Back DRAW (+260) given each team’s trends in this situation.
BET UNDER 2.5 (+115).
Both teams have dynamic offenses yet somehow managed to go Under this in their 1st match. Newcastle’s match didn’t have a single goal, and PSG won 2-0, not allowing many opportunities.
Both teams do not allow more than a goal per game in league play, and the unfamiliar competition mixed with the quality defenses should make this a more slow-paced, methodical game. Take UNDER 2.5 (+115).
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