Braves vs. Mets Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The New York Mets (30-30) face the Atlanta Braves (35-24), after Tommy Pham went deep twice in a 6-4 defeat to the Blue Jays, at 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Mets (+146 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Braves (-175). The matchup has an over/under set at 10.5 total runs.

The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of June 6, 2023 at 5:15 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Braves vs Mets Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 29 out of the 49 games, or 59.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season Atlanta has won 13 of its 19 games, or 68.4%, when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
• The Braves have a 63.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 59 chances this season.
• The Braves have an ATS record of 26-33-0 in 59 games with a spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Mets Betting Insights

• The Mets have come away with six wins in the 15 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has played as an underdog of +146 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 40.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of its 61 opportunities.
• The Mets have posted a record of 23-38-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder

• Elder and his team are 5-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in 7 1/3 innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday.
• Elder has pitched five or more innings in 11 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• Elder’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-2).
• Elder’s team has won eight of his 11 starts this season.
• Games Elder has started this season hit the over four times in 11 chances.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco

• The Mets will send Carrasco (2-2) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 31 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the righty tossed six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
• Carrasco is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per start.
• The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Carrasco starts this season — they split the games.
• In Carrasco’s six starts, his team is 4-2.
• Carrasco has started six games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Braves Hitting Trends

• The Braves have a 19-9 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
• Atlanta has collected at least five extra-base hits in 12 games this season, and won every time.
• The club has put up at least eight hits 41 times this season, and has a 28-13 record in those games.
• Atlanta is 28-6 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 11-8 in those contests.

Mets Hitting Trends

• They are 9-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• New York has gone 5-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have a record of 23-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• New York has won 24 of its 32 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• In 11 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-4

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-175)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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