Marlins Vs Braves: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

The Miami Marlins (16-13) and Atlanta Braves (19-10) clash in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at LoanDepot park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins are coming off a series victory over the Cubs, and the Braves a series win over the Mets.

The favored Marlins (-133 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Braves (+113). The over/under in the game is 7.5 total runs.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 2, 2023 at 11:18 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Marlins vs Braves Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have won six of the 10 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Miami has a record of 2-1 when favored by -133 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• Games involving Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 12 of 29 chances this season.
• The Marlins have an ATS record of 13-16-0 in 29 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Braves Betting Insights

• The Braves have been chosen as underdogs in three games this year and have walked away with the win two times (66.7%) in those games.
• Atlanta has played as an underdog of +113 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 17 of its 29 opportunities.
• The Braves are 14-15-0 against the spread in their 29 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara

• Alcantara and his team have not covered in any of the five games with a spread he’s started this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• Alcantara will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• Alcantara’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-2.
• Alcantara’s team has won one of his five starts this season.
• In games Alcantara has started this season, the teams are 3-2-0 at hitting the over.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder

• The Braves will send Elder (2-0) out to make his sixth start of the season. He is 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA and 26 strikeouts through 29 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the righty tossed 5 1/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• Elder will try to prolong a six-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per appearance).
• The Braves were the moneyline underdog for one Elder start this season — they won.
• In Elder’s five starts, his team is 4-1.
• Elder has started five games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Marlins Hitting Trends

• The Marlins have a 4-3 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
• Miami ranks 19th in baseball with a .382 slugging percentage.
• The team has collected at least eight hits 19 times this season, and has a 13-6 record in those games.
• Miami is 7-0 in games this season when it puts up at least five runs.
• The Marlins are 2-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Braves Hitting Trends

• They have won 10 of the 11 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Atlanta is undefeated in seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have a record of 16-2 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Atlanta has scored five or more runs 16 times this season and won all of those games.
• They have won eight of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Marlins vs. Braves Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (+113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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