Mets vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

Jake Burger brings a two-game homer streak into the Chicago White Sox’s (40-55) game against the New York Mets (43-50) at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, at Citi Field.

The Mets (-118 moneyline odds to win) take the field against the White Sox (-102) in an expected close contest. The contest has an over/under of 9.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 18, 2023 at 5:17 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Mets vs White Sox Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 62 times and won 33, or 53.2%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 28-28 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 94 chances.
• The Mets are 38-56-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

White Sox Betting Insights

• The White Sox have come away with 21 wins in the 59 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a mark of 19-35 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 42 of its 95 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The White Sox have posted a record of 47-48-0 against the spread this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco’s team is 6-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, July 7, when he threw eight scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks while allowing three hits.
• Carrasco has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• In 12 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
• When Carrasco starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-2.
• Carrasco’s team has a 5-7 record in his starts this season.
• Games started by Carrasco have a 6-4-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets Relief Pitchers

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

• Giolito (6-5 with a 3.45 ERA and 117 strikeouts in 112 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the White Sox, his 20th of the season.
• In his last time out on Sunday, July 9 against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander tossed seven innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
• Giolito will look to continue a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per appearance).
• He has had two appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
• The White Sox are 3-8 in Giolito’s 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Giolito’s team has won seven of his 19 starts.
• Giolito has had 19 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those matchups hit the over.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Mets Hitting Trends

• The Mets are 15-15 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
• New York is 9-4 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
• The team has strung together at least eight hits 52 times this season, and has a 33-19 record in those games.
• New York is 32-15 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Mets have drawn at least five walks in 20 games this season, and are 11-9 in those contests.

White Sox Hitting Trends

• They are 16-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Chicago has gone 13-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have won 32 of the 56 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• In 35 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-9.
• They have a 5-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mets vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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