Braves vs. Phillies odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

20 September 2023

Braves vs. Phillies odds, tips and betting trends

In the final game of a three-game set at Truist Park, the Atlanta Braves (97-54) face the Philadelphia Phillies (82-69), Wednesday at 12:20 PM ET.

The Phillies (+126 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Braves (-149). The scheduled starters are Bryce Elder (12-4) for the Atlanta Braves, and Aaron Nola (12-9) for the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Braves defeated the Phillies 9-3 yesterday, with Spencer Strider getting the win (7.0 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 11 K) and Ronald Acuna Jr. leading the way offensively (going 3-for-5 with two home runs and two RBI). Cristopher Sanchez (4.0 IP, 3 R, 7 H, 2 K) took the loss for the Phillies.

To prepare for this Braves vs. Phillies showdown, here’s everything you need to get ready for Wednesday’s MLB action, including viewing options.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds and Betting Lines

Tipico Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 9:17 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Braves (-149, bet $149 to win $100)
Underdog: Phillies (+126, bet $100 to win $126)
Over/under: 9.5

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Braves Stats and Trends

Braves Betting Records

The Braves have won 89, or 64.5%, of the 138 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
Atlanta is 70-29 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 84 of its 151 chances.
In 151 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 76-75-0 ATS.

Bryce Elder (Braves Probable Starter)

Elder makes the start for the Braves, his 30th of the season. He is 12-4 with a 3.50 ERA and 126 strikeouts through 167 1/3 innings pitched.
His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
In 29 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 3.50 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .241 to opposing batters.
Elder heads into this outing with 16 quality starts under his belt this year.
Elder will look to prolong an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per appearance).
In six of his 29 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
He meets a Phillies offense that ranks ninth in the league with 740 runs while batting .258 as a squad. It has a collective .440 slugging percentage (fifth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 204 home runs (ninth in MLB).
In seven innings over one appearance against the Phillies this season, Elder has a 0 ERA and a 0.714 WHIP while his opponents are batting .130.
The 24-year-old’s 3.50 ERA ranks 14th, 1.219 WHIP ranks 28th, and 6.8 K/9 ranks 44th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Braves Batting Stats

The Braves have hit 291 homers to lead Major League Baseball this season.
No MLB team has a better slugging percentage than Atlanta (.502) this season.
The Braves lead baseball with a .275 batting average.
Atlanta leads MLB with 875 runs scored this season.
The Braves have the best on-base percentage (.343) in baseball this year.
Atlanta is one of the most-disciplined teams at the plate this season, ranking fifth with an average of 7.9 strikeouts per game.

Phillies Stats and Trends

Phillies Betting Records

The Phillies have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (44.7%) in those contests.
This season, Philadelphia has been victorious four times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 44.2% chance of walking away with the win.
Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of its 151 opportunities.
The Phillies are 68-83-0 against the spread in their 151 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Aaron Nola (Phillies Probable Starter)

Nola (12-9 with a 4.62 ERA and 186 strikeouts in 181 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Phillies, his 31st of the season.
His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up seven hits.
The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.62, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 30 games this season. Opponents are hitting .244 against him.
Nola is trying to secure his 14th quality start of the season.
Nola has pitched five or more innings in a game 25 times this year entering this game.
He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
He will face a Braves squad that is hitting .275 as a unit (first in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .502 (first in the league) with 291 total home runs (first in MLB action).
In 12 innings over two appearances against the Braves this season, Nola has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.167 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .222.
Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 30-year-old’s 4.62 ERA ranks 38th, 1.182 WHIP ranks 20th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 21st.

Phillies Batting Stats

The Phillies average 1.4 home runs per game to rank ninth in baseball with 204 total home runs .
So far this year, Philadelphia ranks fifth in the majors with a .440 slugging percentage.
The Phillies rank fifth in MLB with a .258 batting average.
Philadelphia scores the ninth-most runs in baseball (740 total, 4.9 per game).
The Phillies are sixth in baseball with an on-base percentage of .329.

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