Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies NLDS Game 4 odds, tips and betting trends

The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in Game 4 of the NLDS on Thursday at 8:07 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are up 2-1 in the series and would clinch with a win.

The Phillies are an underdog at home (+128) against the Braves (-151). The probable starters are Spencer Strider (20-5, 3.86 ERA) for the Braves against Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) for the Phillies.

These squads meet again after the Phillies’ 10-2 victory over the Braves yesterday. Aaron Nola (5.2 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 9 K) picked up the win for the Phillies. Bryce Harper went 2-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI to lead the team on offense. Bryce Elder (2.2 IP, 6 R, 5 H, 4 K) took the loss on the mound for the Braves.

Ahead of watching this Braves vs. Phillies matchup, here’s what you need to know about Thursday’s playoff action, including viewing options.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies odds and betting lines

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 3:16 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

• Favorite: Braves (-151, bet $151 to win $100)
• Underdog: Phillies (+128, bet $100 to win $128)
• Over/under: 8.5

• This season, the Braves have been favored 151 times and won 97, or 64.2%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 73-33 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 94 of 165 games with a total.
• The Braves are 81-84-0 against the spread in their 165 chances this season.

• The Braves are sending Strider (20-5) out for his 33rd start of the season. He is 20-5 with a 3.86 ERA and 281 strikeouts through 186 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday, the right-hander went seven innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.86, with 13.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 32 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .210 batting average against him.
• Strider is trying to collect his 19th quality start of the season in this matchup.
• Strider is seeking his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 innings per appearance on the hill.
• He has held his opponents without an earned run in six of his 32 appearances this season.
• He will face a Phillies team that is batting .256 as a unit (eighth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .438 (fifth in MLB) with 220 total home runs (eighth in MLB).
• Strider has a 2.18 ERA and a 0.848 WHIP against the Phillies this season in 33 innings pitched, allowing a .195 batting average over five appearances.
• This season, the 24-year-old ranks 27th in ERA (3.86), ninth in WHIP (1.093), and first in K/9 (13.5) among pitchers who qualify.

• The Braves lead Major League Baseball in home runs with 307.
• No MLB team has a better slugging percentage than Atlanta (.501) this season.
• The Braves rank first in the majors with a .276 team batting average.
• Atlanta leads MLB with 947 runs scored this season.
• The Braves get on base at a .344 clip, best in the league.
• Atlanta is one of the most-disciplined teams at the plate this season, ranking sixth with an average of eight strikeouts per game.

• The Phillies have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (46.2%) in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 4-10 when favored by +128 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 76 of 167 chances this season.
• The Phillies are 77-90-0 against the spread in their 167 games that had a posted line this season.

• Suarez makes the start for the Phillies, his 23rd of the season. He is 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 125 2/3 innings pitched.
• The lefty last pitched on Saturday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed 3 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up one hit.
• The 28-year-old has put together a 4.18 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings over 22 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .267 to opposing batters.
• Suarez has 11 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Suarez will look to record his 19th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per appearance.
• He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
• He meets a Braves offense that ranks first in the league with 947 total runs scored while batting .276 as a unit. His opponent has a collective .501 slugging percentage (first in MLB play) and has hit a total of 307 home runs (first in the league).
• Suarez has a 0.93 ERA and a 0.828 WHIP against the Braves this season in 9 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .147 batting average over two appearances.

• The Phillies are eighth in MLB action with 220 total home runs.
• So far this year, Philadelphia’s .438 slugging percentage is fifth-best in baseball.
• The Phillies have the eighth-best batting average in the majors (.256).
• The offense for Philadelphia is No. 8 in MLB, scoring 4.9 runs per game (796 total runs).
• The Phillies’ .327 on-base percentage ranks ninth-best in MLB.