Braves vs. Phillies Predictions & Picks

Thursday's game between the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) and the Atlanta Braves (104-58) at Citizens Bank Park has a good chance to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-3, with the Phillies securing the victory. First pitch is at 8:07 PM ET on October 12.

The probable pitchers are Spencer Strider (20-5, 3.86 ERA) for the Braves and Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) for the Phillies.

Braves vs. Phillies Game Info & Odds

• When: Thursday, October 12, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

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Braves vs. Phillies Score Prediction

Our prediction for this contest is Phillies 5, Braves 4.

Total Prediction for Braves vs. Phillies

• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Braves Performance Insights

• In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 6-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, Atlanta and its opponents are 7-3-0 in its last 10 games with a total.
• The Braves have one win against the spread in their last three chances.
• The Braves have won 97, or 65.1%, of the 149 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has entered 110 games this season favored by -150 or more and is 77-33 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• No team has scored more than the 947 runs Atlanta has this season.
• The Braves have the 15th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.14).

Phillies Performance Insights

• In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 2-2.
• In its previous 10 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
• The Phillies' previous 10 contests have not had a runline posted by bookmakers.
• The Phillies have won in 22, or 44%, of the 50 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Philadelphia has won three of 11 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• The offense for Philadelphia is No. 8 in the majors, scoring 4.9 runs per game (796 total runs).
• Phillies pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.03 ERA this year, which ranks 12th in MLB.

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