Phillies vs. Braves Predictions & Picks

Wednesday's contest features the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) and the Atlanta Braves (104-58) clashing at Citizens Bank Park in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 6-4 victory for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 5:07 PM ET on October 11.

The probable pitchers are Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) for the Phillies and Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.81 ERA) for the Braves.

Phillies vs. Braves Game Info & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

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Phillies vs. Braves Score Prediction

Our prediction for this contest is Phillies 6, Braves 5.

Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Braves

• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Explore More About This Game

Phillies Performance Insights

• In five games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 4-1.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times in its last 10 games with a total.
• Sportsbooks have not set a spread for any of the Phillies' last 10 games.
• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 107 times this season and won 65, or 60.7%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered 87 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 56-31 in those contests.
• The Phillies have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia has scored 796 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.
• The Phillies' 4.03 team ERA ranks 12th across all league pitching staffs.

Braves Performance Insights

• The Braves are underdogs for the first time in a while, as they have not been listed as underdogs in their last 10 games.
• When it comes to the total, Atlanta and its foes are 6-4-0 in its last 10 contests.
• The Braves are 1-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 matchups (four of those games had a spread listed by oddsmakers).
• The Braves have come away with five wins in the eight contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Atlanta has not lost in three games this year when given odds of +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
• Atlanta is the highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.8 runs per game (947 total).
• The Braves have the 15th-ranked ERA (4.14) in the majors this season.

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