Brewers vs Red Sox Pick

Boston Red Sox (11-11) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (15-6)
April 23, 2023 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -175 / Boston Red Sox +135; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Boston Red Sox have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 straight games. The Red Sox are 10-6 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Alex Verdugo leads the Red Sox with 28 hits and 10 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Justin Turner have combined for 45 hits and 26 RBI. Brayan Bello gets the ball, and he is 0-1 with a 16.88 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Bello’s second career game against the Brewers.

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Brewers are 13-0 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Willy Adames leads the Brewers with 22 hits and 12 RBI, while Christian Yelich and William Contreras have combined for 40 hits and 13 RBI. Corbin Burnes gets the ball, and he is 2-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Burnes’ first career game against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 Sunday games and 6-2 in their last 8 overall. The Brewers are 22-8 in their last 30 interleague games and 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall. The under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games. The Red Sox are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.

Brayan Bello is a young, talented pitcher, but he’s had issues with success as he continues to get his feet wet in the big leagues. Corbin Burnes is one of the better pitchers in the league who will continue to get into regular season form, and he’s usually money at home in the favorite role. Hard not to side with the Brewers, given a decent pitching edge.