Red Sox vs Guardians Pick

Cleveland Guardians (13-13) vs. Boston Red Sox (13-14)
April 29, 2023 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -125 / Cleveland Guardians +100; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Cleveland Guardians have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Guardians are 3-12 this season when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 27 hits and 11 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Andres Gimenez have combined for 50 hits and 21 RBI. Zach Plesac gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 6.50 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Plesac is 1-1 with a 4.43 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.

The Boston Red Sox have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. The Red Sox are 12-7 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Alex Verdugo leads the Red Sox with 32 hits and 13 RBI, while Justin Turner and Rafael Devers have combined for 51 hits and 33 RBI. Brayan Bello gets the ball, and he is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be Bello’s first career game against the Guardians.

The Guardians are 35-17 in their last 52 road games and 3-7 in their last 10 overall. The Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 home games and 11-5 in their last 16 games on grass. The under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall. The over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games. The Guardians are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings.

We have two capable offenses, a small park and two pitchers that are getting rocked right now. Zach Plesac has a 6.50 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP, while Brayan Bello has a 9.82 ERA and 2.18 WHIP. Bello had his issues last season as well, with a larger sample size. I expect some fireworks. Give me the over.