Brewers vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

Corbin Burnes will try to secure his 10th victory of the season when the Milwaukee Brewers (56-45) host the Cincinnati Reds (55-47) at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Brewers are favored (-152 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Reds (+127). The over/under for this game is set at 8.

The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 25, 2023 at 7:14 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 50 times and won 28, or 56%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 7-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -152 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 101 chances.
• The Brewers have an ATS record of 51-50-0 in 101 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Reds Betting Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 74 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (48.6%) in those contests.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 20-21 when favored by +127 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 55 of its 102 opportunities.
• In 102 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 63-39-0 against the spread.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Burnes

• When Burnes starts, his team is 8-12-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed eight innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• Burnes has pitched five or more innings in 18 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• He is looking for his third appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
• Burnes’ team is 10-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Burnes’ team is 12-8 when he starts this season.
• Out of Burnes’ 20 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Reds Probable Pitcher – Andrew Abbott

• Abbott (5-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 55 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 10th of the season.
• The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Thursday against the San Francisco Giants, when he tossed eight scoreless innings while giving up only one hit.
• Abbott is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per start.
• He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his nine appearances this season.
• The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in four of Abbott’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
• In Abbott’s nine starts, his team is 7-2.
• Abbott has started nine games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Brewers Hitting Trends

• The Brewers have racked up at least two long balls in 42 games this season, and are 35-7 in those contests.
• Milwaukee has won each of its nine games this season when racking up at least five extra-base hits.
• The team is 39-13 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
• Milwaukee has a 46-7 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Brewers are 27-9 over the 36 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

• They have won 27 of the 32 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Cincinnati has won 23 of its 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 50-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Cincinnati has won 54 of its 64 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• They have a 17-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Brewers vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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