Brock Purdy NFL Player Props, Odds for Thanksgiving: Predictions for 49ers vs. Seahawks
Brock Purdy leads the San Francisco 49ers into battleagainst the Seattle Seahawks to conclude Thursday’s Thanksgiving tripleheader,and we have you covered with our Brock Purdy player prop predictions based onthe best NFL odds.
San Francisco (7-3) is coming off itsseventh win by 10 or more points, which is tied with the Dallas Cowboys for themost in the NFL. In the 27-14 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week,Purdy became the first 49ers quarterback to post a perfect 158.3 quarterbackrating since Joe Montana in 1989.
Seattle enters this contest at 6-4, one gamebehind San Francisco for first place in the NFC West. Seahawks kicker JasonMyers missed a game-winning 55-yard field goal last week and Seattle was sweptby the Los Angeles Rams for the second time in three seasons.
The 49ers and Seahawks met three timeslast year, with San Francisco winning each game and outscoring Seattle 89-43in the process.
To accompany our NFL Week 12 Thanksgiving predictions, NFL best bets for Thanksgiving, and 49ers vs. Seahawks predictions, here are our best Brock Purdy NFL playerprop predictions for the 49ers vs. Seahawks Week 12 Thanksgiving matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).
Brock Purdy NFL player proppredictions for Thanksgiving
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Brock Purdy player props for Thanksgiving
Brock Purdy Under 1.5passing touchdowns (+112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
When it rains, it typically pours for theSeahawks' pass defense, as they have allowed four quarterbacks to throw multipletouchdowns this year, and two of those quarterbacks have thrown three-plustouchdowns. However, that also means they have held opposing quarterbacks toone or fewer touchdowns in more than half of their games, and with a lowprojected total (43.5), we expect Purdy to have a quiet day in the touchdowndepartment.
Though Purdy has averaged more than 11yards per attempt in three consecutive games, the Seahawks rank in the top 11in yards per attempt allowed. Purdy has faced two defenses (Cleveland Brownsand Dallas Cowboys) that also rank in the top 11 in that category; the Brownslimited him to just one touchdown pass and a season-low 44.4% completionpercentage, and though he threw four touchdowns against Dallas, he also had hissecond-fewest attempts (24) of the season.
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FanDuel is the only one of our best sports betting apps offeringplus-money odds for the Under, and the next-closest odds are the -105 found atBetMGM and DraftKings.
Brock Purdy Under 250.5 passingyards (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Purdyhas thrown for 629 yards and a 6-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio during the team’s two-gamewinning streak and is coming off the first 300-yard and three-touchdown game inhis career. And though the Seahawks have allowed four quarterbacks to throw for300 yards this season, we expect Purdy to fall way short of that plateau.
PerNext Gen Stats, Purdy had three passing touchdowns with a career-high 210passing yards against man coverage in Week 11. He leads the NFL with 16 passingtouchdowns vs. man coverage this season, but the bad news for him is that theSeahawks play zone coverage at the third-highest rate in the league (82.7% ofopponents’ dropbacks). That should limit San Francisco’s league-leading yardsafter the catch and, in turn, lower Purdy’s ceiling for passing yards.
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Caesars is the only one of our best sports betting sites offering plus-money odds to back the Under, while BetMGMand DraftKings charge a price of -115 for the same wager.
Brock Purdy Under 0.5interceptions (-121 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
San Francisco is a seven-point favoriteat four of our best live betting sites (Caesars is the only one at 49ers -6.5), androad favorites of a touchdown or more on Thanksgiving are 9-0 all-time. That issignificant because Purdy has a 15-0 TD-INT ratio in wins this season and a 3-5TD-INT ratio in losses.
Purdy completed 62.5% of his passes for549 yards while averaging nearly 10 yards per attempt and had a 5-0 TD-INTratio in two starts against Seattle last season. Head coach Pete Carroll seemsreluctant to bring pressure against Purdy given his respect for the 49ers’speed, as the Seahawks sacked him only twice in those two starts.
Without beingunder duress much, we expect Purdy to make the safe and correct play often,especially against a Seahawks defense that is tied for 20th in the league withseven interceptions.
Up to a $500 Second Chance Bet
All of our other best sportsbooks charge-125 or -130 in juice to back the Under, so the best price for Purdy to gowithout an interception is at BetRivers.
BrockPurdy player prop picks made 11/22/2022 at 6:33 a.m. ET.
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