Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins prediction, spread, odds and picks

Buffalo Bills host a Wild Card game against Miami Dolphins at Highmark Stadium on Sunday at 1 p.m. The Bills used a strong second half to beat the New England Patriots 35-23 in the final game of the regular season. Dolphins clinched their first playoff appearance since 2016 with a win over the Jets in Week 18.

Buffalo Bills are 10-point favorites against Miami Dolphins. The Bills finished the season 6-1 at home and won three of their last five games by at least double digits. Miami went with third-string rookie QB Skylar Thompson in the regular-season finale. Dolphins have failed to cover in four straight playoff games.

Both teams ranked in the top-11 in points per game and top the league in passing and total yards per match in regular season. Buffalo is 4-1 to the over in its last five home games and in four of its previous five postseason matchups overall. Miami has gone over the projected total in six of their prior seven games on the road and 7-2 to over against a team with a winning home record.

Bills are the biggest favorites for Wild Card weekend. Miami scored 30-plus points in three straight games to end the regular season. Tua Tagovailoa is injured and the Dolphins are not going to be able to overcome that.

Bills are massive favorites on the moneyline (-600) and cover the -10.5 spread (-111) on Tipico Sportsbook.