Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Pick

Toronto Blue Jays (1-0) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (0-1)
April 1, 2023 2:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals +105 / Toronto Blue Jays -125; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the St. Louis Cardinals meet in MLB action from Busch Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Toronto is listed as a -125 road favorite while St. Louis is a +105 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Kevin Gausman is listed as Toronto’s starter and was 12-10 with a 3.35 ERA and 205 strikeouts last season. St. Louis has Jack Flaherty listed as the starter here and was 2-1 with a 4.25 ERA and 33 strikeouts last season.

Matchup History

Toronto’s 10-9 win over St. Louis in the season opener back on Thursday was Toronto’s 3 win in the last 4 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Trends

Toronto is 4-0 in their last 4 games against the NL Central and 4-0 in Gausman’s last 4 starts against a team with a losing record while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 game two matchups. St. Louis is 38-18 in their last 56 game two matchups and 0-4 in their last 4 games against a team with a right-handed starter while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Pick

I’m backing Toronto here. I like the Cardinals and this is an interesting matchup, but I want to see that Jack Flaherty is back on track long term before really investing any stock in him against a Toronto lineup with plenty of pop in the order. On the other side, Kevin Gausman was up and down down the stretch last year, but he’s Toronto’s #2 and when that splitter is on point, he’s extremely hard to hit regardless of the lineup. I think Toronto snags the win here so give me the Blue Jays in this one.