Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (69-56) and Baltimore Orioles (77-47) open a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 8-2

The Blue Jays won 10-3 as -112 favorites at the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. DH Brandon Belt hit 2 HRs as Toronto won for the 4th time in its last 6 games. The Blue Jays are 1 game behind the Seattle Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot.

The Orioles won 12-1 as -181 favorites at the Oakland Athletics Sunday. SS Jorge Mateo hit an inside-the-park HR as Baltimore completed a 3-game sweep. The Orioles have a 3-game lead over the 2nd-place Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Kikuchi (9-4, 3.44 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 128 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Tuesday
• 2023 road stats: 4-2, 3.60 ERA (70 IP, 28 ER) in 13 starts
• 2023 vs. Orioles: 1-1, 3.52 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 6 ER) in 3 starts — Most recent: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-1 home victory Aug. 2
• Career vs. Orioles: 4-5, 5.40 ERA (45 IP, 27 ER) in 8 starts and 3 relief appearances

Rodriguez (3-3, 5.44 ERA) makes his 17th start. The rookie has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 81 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-1 victory at San Diego Padres on Aug. 14
• 2023 home stats: 1-2, 6.69 ERA (39 IP, 29 ER) in 8 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.22 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K on Aug. 2

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Blue Jays at Orioles odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.

Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 5

Baltimore has owned Toronto this season and should continue its dominance Tuesday, especially after outscoring Oakland 28-7 over the weekend.

Toronto is just 11-23 vs. AL East opponents this year and has lost 4 of the last 5 meetings vs. Baltimore.

BET ORIOLES(-115).

Four of the Blue Jays’ last 6 losses have been by just 1 run. Toronto +1.5 (-200) will likely hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Baltimore ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Baltimore’s offense was impressive in its most recent series, scoring 7 or more runs in each game. The Over has hit in 3 straight contests for the Orioles and is 11-5-1 (68.8%) this season when Baltimore is coming off 1 day of rest, according to TeamRankings.com.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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