Celtics vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Memphis Grizzlies (18-31) are heavy, 16-point underdogs as they try to turn around a four-game losing streak when they visit the Boston Celtics (37-12) on Sunday, February 4, 2024 at TD Garden. The contest airs at 6:00 PM ET on NBCS. The matchup has a point total of 221.5.

Celtics vs. Grizzlies Odds

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Who Will Win Celtics vs. Grizzlies?

Celtics and Grizzlies Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Celtics are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 16-point favorites.

The two teams average a combined 5.8 more points per game (227.3) than this matchup’s total of 221.5 points.

Boston and Memphis have seen its opponents average a combined 2.3 more points per game than the over/under of 221.5 set for this matchup.

The average total the Celtics have had in their games this season is 9.6 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under in Memphis’ games this year is 1.6 fewer points than the point total of 221.5 in this outing.

So far this season, Boston has put together a 23-24-2 record against the spread.

The Grizzlies are 23-26-0 against the spread this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics average 120.1 points per game (fifth in the league) while giving up 111.1 per contest (sixth in the NBA). They have a +442 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 9.0 points per game.

The Celtics win the rebound battle by an average of 3.0 boards. They are pulling down 47.3 rebounds per game (first in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.3 per contest.

Boston connects on 16.2 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.0 more than its opponents (13.2). It is shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc (fifth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.0%.

The Celtics’ 121.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank second in the NBA, and the 112.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank third in the league.

The Celtics have scored at a higher clip at home than on the road in the 2023-24 season (121.2 at home versus 119.0 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points in home games than on the road (109.4 opponent points per home game versus 112.8 on the road).

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies are being outscored by 5.5 points per game, with a -267 scoring differential overall. They put up 107.2 points per game (30th in NBA), and give up 112.7 per outing (12th in league).

The 42.1 rebounds per game Memphis accumulates rank 23rd in the league, 3.7 fewer than the 45.8 its opponents pull down.

The Grizzlies connect on 13.5 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.2. They shoot 34.4% from deep, and their opponents shoot 37.9%.

The Grizzlies score 108.6 points per 100 possessions (30th in league), while giving up 114.2 points per 100 possessions (eighth in NBA).

Memphis averages 104.4 points per game at home, and 109.8 on the road.

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Jayson Tatum averages 26.8 points, 8.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game.

Derrick White’s averages this season are 15.7 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game.

Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.

Jaylen Brown picks up 1.1 takeaways per game, and Kristaps Porzingis compiles 1.9 rejections per contest.

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

Santi Aldama holds the top Grizzlies spot in two categories among active players: scoring (10.5 points per game) and rebounding (5.7 rebounds per game). He also dishes out 1.9 assists per contest.

Jacob Gilyard has per-game averages of 4.3 points, 3.5 assists and 1.1 rebounds this season.

Aldama averages 1.7 made threes per game.

The Grizzlies’ defensive effort gets a boost from Xavier Tillman’s 1.3 steals and John Konchar’s 0.9 blocks per game.

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