Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
A pair of the league’s top scorers take the court when Jayson Tatum (10th, 26.6 PPG) and the Boston Celtics (33-10) visit Luka Doncic (second, 33.6 PPG) and the Dallas Mavericks (24-18) on Monday, January 22, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET on NBCS. The Celtics are 3.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 239.
Celtics vs. Mavericks Odds
How to Bet on Celtics vs. Mavericks
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Celtics vs. Mavericks?
Celtics and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 3.5 points or more, the Celtics have a 19-18-2 record against the spread.
In games this year in which they were an underdog by 3.5 points or more, the Mavericks have a 6-4 record against the spread.
The Celtics and the Mavericks combine to average 0.2 fewer points per game than the total of 239 set for this game.
Boston and Dallas have seen its opponents average a combined 11 fewer points per game than the over/under of 239 set for this outing.
The Celtics’ average point total in outings this season is 231, eight points fewer than the total in this game.
The average point total for Dallas this season is 3.1 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Boston is 21-20-2 ATS this season.
So far this year, the Mavericks have compiled a 23-19-0 record against the spread.
Celtics Stats & Insights
The Celtics have a +417 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.7 points per game. They’re putting up 120.3 points per game to rank fourth in the league and are allowing 110.6 per outing to rank third in the NBA.
The Celtics rank first in the league at 47.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.5 more than the 44 their opponents average.
Boston makes 16.2 three-pointers per game (first in the league) while shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc (seventh-best in the NBA). It is making three more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 13.2 per game while shooting 35%.
The Celtics’ 121.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank third in the NBA, and the 112.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank second in the league.
The Celtics’ offense has been much better at home (122.9 PPG) compared to road games (117.9 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better in home games (108.1 PPG allowed) compared to away games (113 PPG allowed).
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks outscore opponents by 1.1 points per game (posting 118.5 points per game, seventh in league, and conceding 117.4 per contest, 20th in NBA) and have a +46 scoring differential.
Dallas ranks 24th in the NBA at 41.9 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 fewer than the 46.4 its opponents average.
The Mavericks connect on 15.1 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), two more than their opponents.
The Mavericks average 118.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (10th in league), and allow 117.7 points per 100 possessions (18th in NBA).
At home, Dallas scores 120.7 points per game. Away, it scores 116.1.
Celtics Key Players to Watch
The Celtics get 26.6 points, 8.2 rebounds and 4.4 assists from Tatum.
Derrick White scores 16.2 points per game and adds 4.1 rebounds and 4.8 assists for the Celtics.
Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.1 per contest.
Jaylen Brown averages 1.1 steals per game, while Kristaps Porzingis has 1.9 blocks per contest.
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Doncic is having a strong season overall, with 33.6 points per game, 8.3 rebounds per game, and 9.2 assists per game.
Doncic averages 3.9 made threes per game.
Doncic’s 1.4 steals and Dereck Lively II’s 1.4 blocks per game are important to the Mavericks’ defensive effort.
Under (239)
Celtics 120 – Mavericks 114
