Celtics vs. Heat prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 4 best bets from model on 87-59 run

Miami Heat and Boston Celtics are playing in the Eastern Conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on Monday at 8:30 p.m. ET. Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry and Tyler Herro are injured for Miami. Jayson Tatum is probable for Boston. Boston is a seven-point favorite. Miami took a 2-1 lead in Saturday's game. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,00 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons.

SportsLine's advanced computer model has made its picks and NBA playoff predictions for Celtics vs. Heat. The model is on an 87-59 run. Boston is 26-15-1 ATS this season against teams with win percentage of 55+.

Celtics vs. Heat is a best bet for Game 4. The Celtics are 26-15-1 ATS this season against teams with win percentage of 55+. Miami has covered in four of their last five games.

Miami has several players listed as questionable for Monday's game. Boston has Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Robert Williams III and a few other players who are injured. Miami has covered the spread at a 13-5-1 clip in their last 19 road games.

Tatum struggled in Game 3 but is a smooth scorer with an impressive array of moves. Tatum is averaging a team-high 26.9 points with 5.8 rebounds and 5,9 assists. Grant Williams plays physically on the defensive end and will do the dirty work for Boston.

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total and projects 209 combined points for Heat vs. Celtics. One side of the spread has all the value.