Chelsea vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Chelsea welcomes Real Madrid to Stamford Bridge Tuesday. Kickoff in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Chelsea vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Chelsea will have to play a nearly flawless game as they lost the 1st leg 2-0. D Ben Chilwell received a red card in the 59th minute of that battle. F Karim Benzema and M Marco Asensio scored the goals as Real outshot Chelsea 18-10.

Chelsea sits 11th in the English Premier League, having scored 30 goals in 31 games and having allowed 33. They are led in scoring by F Kai Havertz, who has 7 on the season. Chelsea took down Borussia Dortmund a combined 2-1 in the Round of 16 to get to the final 8.

Real sits 2nd in La Liga, the top Spanish league. They have scored 61 goals, 2.1 per game, and allowed 24. Real defeated Liverpool 5-2 on the road and then 1-0 at home in the Round of 16 to advance. Real was 4-1-1 in group stage competitions.

Chelsea vs. Real Madrid odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Monday at 11:02 p.m. ET.

• Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: -115)

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Chelsea vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 1, Chelsea 1

SPRINKLE DRAW (+250).

While Chilwell will be out and Havertz is doubtful, the Blues may get some luck with injury as F Vinicius Junior, a key forward, is doubtful for the match.

That should even the field some. While Chelsea hasn’t had much success on the road, they have 5 draws in 16 home matches. They have drawn 5 of their last 15 matches.

Real has no real need to push the pace and look for a dynamic win and should be comfortable keeping the tempo slow in this game. Given the situation and the potential absence of Junior, take the DRAW (+250).

BET UNDER 2.5 (-115).

Both could be down key attacking forwards. Havertz leads Chelsea in goals, and Junior ranks second on Real in goes scored and second in assists. Real has gone Under in 2 straight games and in 6 of their last 11 matches.

For Chelsea, they are averaging under a goal per game in league play and have struggled mightily offensively this season. They have been held scoreless in 4 straight games and have gone Under this total in 4 of their last 5.

Put it all together and back the UNDER 2.5 (-115).

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