Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis odds, picks and predictions

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Atletico Madrid (15 wins, 5 losses, 6 draws) welcome Real Betis (13-7-6) to Metropolitano Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.

Atletico beat Betis 2-1 on the road Oct. 23, their lone matchup so far this season. Betis did have 1.4 expected goals compared to Atletico’s .8.

Atletico has won 5 of their last 6 league matches and is coming off a 3-0 home win over Valencia. In 4 of those 5 wins, they had more expected goals than their opponent. That said, Atletico sits 3rd in La Liga and is led in the attack by Spanish F Alvaro Morata, who has 10 goals on the season.

Real Betis sits 5th in the league and averages 1.31 goals per game (allowing 1 per game). They are led by Spanish F Borja Iglesia, who has 12 goals on the season. Betis is 4-0-2 in their last 6 league games and hasn’t lost in league play since Feb. 4.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline:
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -125)

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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Betis picks and predictions

Prediction

Atletico Madrid 1, Real Betis 1

SPRINKLE DRAW (+300).

Real Betis has played top-tier opponents well this season, drawing Villarreal on March 12 and drawing Real Madrid on March 5. They have 3 road draws this season in 13 matches.

Atletico has drawn 3 at home in 13 matches as well, and they did have fewer expected goals in their lone matchup against Betis. Real had drawn 2 of its last 7 league matches as well.

These teams both play a defensive-minded style and were within .6 expected goals in the 1st battle. This should be a close game, and a sprinkle on the DRAW (+300) is worth the risk.

BET UNDER 2.5 (-125).

Atletico has gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games, and they allow just .73 goals per game, having held their opponent scoreless in 4 of their last 6 matches.

Betis allows just 1 goal per game and has had a clean sheet in 2 of their last 3 league matches. Both teams have a stronger defense than offense, and that should result in a low-scoring game.

Take the UNDER 2.5 (-125).

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