Union Berlin vs. Real Madrid odds, picks and predictions

Union Berlin (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) welcomes Real Madrid (5-0-0) to Olympiastadion Berlin Tuesday for the final UEFA Champions League group stage matchday. Kickoff is set for 2 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Union Berlin vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Union Berlin sits 15th in the Bundesliga, the top German league. Union is 2-1-4 at home this season and has tallied 15 goals (1.15 per game) while allowing 28 (2.15 per game). F Kevin Behrens is the most lethal scoring option, tallying 4 goals in 13 matches. While Union has struggled for most of the group stage, they had 1-1 draws on the road against Napoli and Braga in their last 2 games.

Real Madrid is 2nd in La Liga, the top league in Spain. They are 6-2-1 on the road. Real has scored 34 goals (2.13 per game) and allowed 10 (0.63 per game). M Jude Bellingham has 12 goals in 14 matches. They have yet to lose or draw in the group stage and have won by an aggregate of 13 to 5. However, they have had more expected goals in just 3 of those 5 games.

Union Berlin vs. Real Madrid odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:54 p.m. ET.

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Union Berlin vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions

Prediction

Real Madrid 1, Union Berlin 1

LEAN DRAW (+300).

For starters, Real Madrid dominated Union in their 1st battle, ending with 28 more shots. However, F Rodrygo and Bellingham both played 90 minutes. With qualifications to the knockout stage secured, there’s not much reason to give them heavy minutes.

This could be the Real 2nd-string team, and Union has played well in group-stage play lately. They have drawn 2 straight games and have had more expected goals than their opponent in 2 of their 3 losses.

For a small unit, back that this match is closer than the prior one. Take DRAW (+300).

BET UNDER 2.5 (+130).

Union had 4 shots and none on goal in the first battle. They haven’t put up many goals in general this season, and they have gone Under this total in 4 of 5 games in Champions League competitions. Union has had Under 1.1 expected goals in 4 of their 5 matches.

Real has the best defense in their group as well and should be lacking key attackers. It doesn’t appear that F Vinicius Junior, a key forward for Real, is going to play here either. Expect a slower game and back UNDER 2.5 (+130).

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