Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8-9-23 MLB Picks

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09 August 2023

The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Wednesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. This will be the finale in a three-game series. The Reds powered out a three-run win in the opener, then in game two Miami evened it up with a close victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins had an early lead in the Monday opener of this series, but ended up falling 5-2. Both Jazz Chisholm and Jorge Soler notched solo homers in that one for the RBI. On Tuesday Miami scored twice in the seventh on the way to a 3-2 comeback win. Jorge Soler had three hits, two RBI and a homer, while Joey Wendle added the other RBI.

In the starter role for the Marlins on Wednesday it’ll be Johnny Cueto. Over his five games (four starts) this year Cueto is 0-3 with a 5.32 ERA and 18 strikeouts over 22.0 innings. Cueto is coming off a loss to Philadelphia with four earned in 6.0 innings.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

The Marlins have lost 14 of their last 16 road games.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games.
The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last eight day games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against the Reds.
Johnny Cueto has recorded five or more strikeouts in 25 of his last 30 appearances at Great American Ball Park.
Jorge Soler has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Marlins as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
Bryan De La Cruz has scored a run in each of his seven previous Wednesday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
Luis Arraez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.370) this season.

Cincinnati Reds

Over on the Reds’ side, they got two hits, a run and two RBI from TJ Friedl in their Monday victory. Christian Encarnacion-Strand and Joey Votto each had solo homers as well. On Tuesday Cincinnati had a tepid offensive evening on six team hits and really couldn’t get much going. TJ Friedl had the team’s one RBI. Stuart Fairchild and Kevin Newman each plated a run.

As starting pitcher for the Reds on Wednesday Graham Ashcraft will step to the mound. Ashcraft is 6-7 with a 5.18 ERA this year in 21 games and has 81 Ks in 113.0 innings. Ashcraft is 3-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 29 Ks in his last seven games.

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

The underdogs have won six of the Reds' last seven games at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds have covered the run line each of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three Wednesday day games as favourites.
The Reds have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four day games at Great American Ball Park against NL East opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

TJ Friedl has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds' last six day games.
Graham Ashcraft has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances with the Reds as home favourites against NL East opponents.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds' last four games against NL East opponents.
TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds' last two games as favourites.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds' last seven day games.
TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in six of the Reds' last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Cincinnati Reds ranks 1st in the league for steals this season (130).
The Cincinnati Reds ranks 3rd in the league for triples this season (23).
The Miami Marlins ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1089).
The Miami Marlins ranks T3rd in the league for hits this season (1027).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK

I’m going to try the Reds. We should have a fun starter matchup regardless, though. Ashcraft has five earned runs over his last 19.1 innings in three starts, posting 15 hits and six walks in that time. As for Cueto, he’s been consistent with 18.0 innings and seven earned over his last three starts, but he’s just 0-2 in that time. On Tuesday Cincinnati had a rough night at the plate. The Reds were flummoxed by the Miami bullpen (3.0 innings, no hits, no earned, one walk, five Ks), breaking their streak of nine straight games with three or more runs. I think Cincinnati will get it going again Wednesday to bag the win in both the game and the series.