Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-8-23 MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies meet in game one of their three-game NL East set in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Friday.

Marlins Fail To Sweep Dodgers

The Miami Marlins had a chance for a huge sweep over the Dodgers but unfortunately stumbled in Thursday’s series finale by a final score of 10-0. The loss set the Marlins back to 72-68, sitting 19.5 games back in the NL East race and 0.5 games back in the NL Wild Card hunt. Jorge Soler leads the Marlins with 35 home runs along with 71 RBIs while Bryan De La Cruz has 71 RBIs as well this season. Luis Arraez also has 185 hits, 29 doubles and a .353 batting average while De La Cruz has a team-high 30 doubles as well. Eury Perez will get the start for Miami here and is 5-4 with a 2.86 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

- The underdogs have won each of the Marlins' last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 night games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

- Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in five of the Marlins' last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins' last four games against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins' last five games against NL East opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.353) this season.

Phillies Win Series Vs. Padres

The Philadelphia Phillies were able to come out on top in their series against the Padres by taking down San Diego with a 5-1 win last time out. The win pushed the Phillies to 77-62 on the year, sitting 14 games back in the NL East race while holding on to the top spot in the NL Wild Card race. Bryson Stott leads the Phillies with 150 hits and a .294 batting average while Nick Castellanos has 149 hits and a team-high 34 doubles. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 41 home runs with a team-high 90 RBIs of his own and Alec Bohm has 86 RBIs. Schwarber has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Phillies with 177 strikeouts this season. Bryce Harper also has a .293 batting average and a .388 OBP this season. Cristopher Sanchez will start for the Phillies here and is 2-3 with a 3.48 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Marlins and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Marlins and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last five games as favorites against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last 10 games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 19 home games.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 4th in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

- The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.441).
- The Miami Marlins ranks 28th in the league for walks this season (359).
- The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for RBI's this season (547).

Chris’ Pick

I’m looking at the Phillies here. Eury Perez is a solid piece in the Marlins’ rotation, but he’s been a lot better at home and the Phillies have been crushing right-handed pitching. On the other side, the Marlins have been defense against lefties but I think that Sanchez will be good enough to take care of business for the Phils in this one.