Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 05-24-2023 MLB Picks

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds meet in an NL Central division matchup from Great American Ballpark on Wednesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

St. Louis is listed as a -155 road favorite while Cincinnati is a +135 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 10.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Steven Matz will start for the Cardinals and is 0-5 with a 5.05 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. Ben Lively will start for the Reds here and is 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

St. Louis’ 8-5 win over the Reds on Tuesday snapped Cincinnati’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

St. Louis is 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 12-4 in their last 16 games overall while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. Cincinnati is 1-4 in their last 5 home games and 1-5 in their last 6 games overall while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a left-handed starter.

Pick

I’m backing the over here. I know better than to trust Steven Matz to try to win me a game, as the Cardinals haven’t been able to do it with him on the bump, but I also can’t get on board with Ben Lively after just one single start. I think this has potential to be an offensive clinic when all is said and done, so give me the over here.