MLB Predictions & Odds 4/26/23

Washington Nationals (8-14) vs. New York Mets (14-10)
April 26, 2023 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets -217 / Washington Nationals +165; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Washington Nationals have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Nationals are 7-3 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Joey Meneses leads the Nationals with 24 hits and 9 RBI, while Jeimer Candelario and Lane Thomas have combined for 44 hits and 19 RBI. MacKenzie Gore gets the ball, and he is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Gore’s first career game against the Mets.

The New York Mets have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Mets are 13-3 this season when scoring 4 or more runs. Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 29 hits and 13 RBI, while Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso have combined for 48 hits and 31 RBI. Kodai Senga gets the ball, and he is 3-0 with a 4.29 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Senga’s first career game against the Nationals.

The Nationals are 7-15 in their last 22 road games and 33-73 in their last 106 overall. The Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 Wednesday games and 8-3 in their last 11 overall. The under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 overall. The under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games. The Nationals are 7-22 in the last 29 meetings in New York and 8-22 in the last 30 meetings.

The New York Mets are due for a bounce back performance after getting shutout last night, and both pitchers have been more than hittable this season. Gore has a control issue with 14 walks in 21 innings, and Senga has a 1.52 WHIP and also 14 walks in 21 innings. Reasonable total. I see some fireworks. Give me the over.