College Football Parlay Predictions, Odds Week 6

sportsbookreview.com

04 October 2023

For the secondconsecutive week, we went 2-1 with our three-leg parlay, so we'll aim to hit on all three this week at better than 5:1 odds with ourcollege football parlay predictions for Week 6 based on the best NCAAF odds.

Thisweek’s college football parlay involves two Pac-12 games, with one first-halfspread fading a team coming off an emotional win last week and an alternatespread that gives us more cushion.

Our parlay is rounded out with a moneylineplay on a virtual coin-flip game in which the underdog is being overvalued basedon a big non-conference win earlier in the season.

Hereare our best college football parlay predictions for Week 6 (odds via our best college footballbetting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

College football parlay predictions: Week 6

Louisiana-Lafayette (-115) vs. Texas State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
California +4.5 first half (-112) vs. Oregon State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Washington State +4.5 (-175) vs. UCLA ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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College footballparlay Week 6

Louisiana-Lafayette ML vs. Texas State (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

TexasState enters on a three-game winning streak and is one of two Sun Belt teamswith a point differential of plus-72 or better. However, the Bobcats are stillbeing overvalued for their season-opening win, their first in program historyagainst a team from a Power Five conference.

TexasState’s TJ Finley is second among all Sun Belt quarterbacks in total QBR(72.5). However, he has padded those statistics mainly over the last threeweeks, when he faced an FCS opponent (Jackson State), the 28th-worst defensein the country in total defense (Southern Miss), and the worst statisticaldefense in the county in terms of yards per game allowed (Nevada, 511.2 YPGallowed) and passing yards per game allowed (326.2). He will face a muchtougher test from a Louisiana defense that ranks in the top 35 in passing success rate allowed and EPA/pass allowed.

Finleyis behind Ragin’ Cajuns quarterback Zeon Chriss (78.2) on the Total QBR list,and Chriss’ running ability is a big reason the team ranks in the top 15 in rushing success rate. We expect plenty of chunk plays from the Ragin’ Cajuns,as the Bobcats rank outside the top 120 in rushing explosiveness allowed. Thus,Texas State’s lack of ATS success will continue, as it has covered just one ofits last eight October road games.

California +4.5 firsthalf vs. Oregon State (-112 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

OregonState is coming off a big 21-7 win over then-No. 10 Utah, which vaulted theBeavers to No. 15 in the AP poll. At one point, the Beavers held the Utesscoreless on 10 consecutive drives, but Utah has struggled all season offensivelywithout starting quarterback Cam Rising. We have doubts that Oregon State willplay at the same level defensively on the road this week, considering the lasttime it was on the road, it was torched for 38 points and 528 yards byWashington State.

Californiacan find offensive success behind a veteran offensive line that ranks 17th in stuff rate and 14th in line yards.

Even in one of the Golden Bears’ two losses,they had the lead at halftime against Auburn, and we expect them to play toughfor the first 30 minutes against an Oregon State team that may have a hard timerefocusing in a road game after a top-10 victory.

Washington State +4.5 vs. UCLA (-128 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

WashingtonState made a splash hire when it brought in Ben Arbuckle as its offensivecoordinator. Arbuckle spent the last two seasons at Western Kentucky, and, underhis tutelage, the Hilltoppers led FBS with 4,929 passing yards last season andtotaled 11,001 pass yards the previous two seasons. By comparison, thenext-highest was Mississippi State, with 8,964 in that span.

Cougarsquarterback Cameron Ward looks very comfortable in Arbuckle’s system, throwingfor 1,390 yards and a 13-0 TD-INT ratio while completing 74.6% of his passes.

Though UCLA is the only defense that has allowed fewer than 59 points this season,it has not faced a passing attack nearly as explosive as Washington State’s, asits last two FBS opponents average fewer than 183 passing yards per game.

TheCougars are 8-1 ATS in their last nine October games against non-AP-rankedteams, but we are getting even more value with this alternate spread on theother side of the key number of four.

College football parlay picks made10/3/2023 at 4:27 p.m. ET.