College Football: What We Learned Week 9
Tennessee is No. 1, Ohio State No 2, Georgia No 3, Clemson No 4 and Michigan No 5 in the College Football Playoff rankings. Michigan, TCU and Alabama would be favored over Clemson by at least 4.5 points on a neutral field.
Big Favorites of 17.5 or more points went 7-0 straight up in Week 9. Big Favorite of that amount have gone 180-10 for the season.
In Week 9 ranked teams playing at home went 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS, including 4-5 Over-Under. In the past three weeks ranked road teams went 9-18 SU, 8-8 Ats, and 17-10 Over Under.
There are good betting opportunities in Week 10 with conference matchups involving a ranked favorite on the road and facing a conference foe. Road favorites of -13 to -19.5 points have gone 43-6 SU (88%), 33-15-1 ATS (69%) and 25-20-4 over the past 10 years.
Bet on teams with two previous games with at least 60 points scored in each game. Bet on road favorites that are averaging at at minimum 31 points per game, and bet on team with a conference foe that is averaging more than 60.
No. 1 Tennessee hosts No. 3 Georgia in a big SEC matchup. Georgia is an 8-point underdog. The current line and total of 66 points reflect a 37-29 Georgia win. Tennessee is 2-18 SU and 6-14 ATS in home games priced as an underdog when they have allowed 31 or more points and had the same number of turnovers as, or fewer turnovers than, their opponent.
Tennessee is 2-18 SU and 6-14 ATS as a home favorite when they have allowed 31 or more points and had the same number of turnovers as, or fewer turnovers than, their opponents in games played over the past 10 seasons. Georgia is 27-2 SU, 21-8 ATC, and 21/21 as road favorite.
