Crystal ball says Cortez Masto hangs on, Sisolak doesn’t and Dems retain two of three House seats

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Crystal ball says Cortez Masto hangs on, Sisolak doesn’t and Dems retain two of three House seats

This year's Nevada election is unpredictable. The past few years have been very successful for him in his predictions. He was prescient in 2018 in foretelling Jacky Rosen’s Senate ascent and Steve Sisolak”s gubernatorial win. In 2010, he predicted Harry Reid would win and in 2016 he was correct about the blue wave of 2016 and the red wave in 2014.

Pundits should make predictions based on data, experience and gut instinct. Cortez Masto hangs on, Sisolak doesn't and Dems retain two of three House seats.

Crystal ball says Cortez Masto hangs on, Sisolak doesn't and Dems retain two of three House seats. The Democrats have a slight advantage with more mail to come enhancing that edge. The Reid Machine, even with Harry gone, is a real thing.

The Governor's and U.S. Senate elections are very close. The governor's race is more difficult to pick than the Senate race. Nevadans will vote for their own interests. The down-ballot races are more interesting. There are three unqualified people running for important state offices. They are all dangerous and their election would be inimical to Nevada's interests, according to the author. He doesn't believe Nevads will act against their interests if they are paying attention. If the turnout increases enough, Washoe County could be the Biggest Little Cincher.

Jim Marchant, Cisco Aguilar and Sigal Chattah are the Republican candidates for secretary of state, treasurer and attorney general. Michele Fiore is under investigation by the FBI and her campaign disclosure reports are questionable. The minimum wage will pass, the transphobic campaign against the Equal Rights Amendment will not be its downfall and the open primaries/ranked-choice voting measure will eke out a victory. Democrats are going to control both houses again and go to 24-18 in the Assembly. i in some of the races that may not decide on Election Night.

Everyone running knows that declaring victory Tuesday evening would be a Trumpian attempt to cry fraud.


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