Forecasters now predict Democrats have the edge in the fight for Senate control
The FiveThirtyEight and The Economist election models give Democrats a 70% or better chance of retaining their Senate majority in November. The disparity in candidate quality between Democrats and Republicans is playing a significant role in the fight for the majority. The Republican candidates in Arizona and Ohio are less than perfect. In Georgia, Herschel Walker won the primary with the help of his football career and Donald Trump's endorsement. He's now facing questions about his past. Sen. Rick Scott's campaign arm is running the Senate Republicans' campaign. It's worth noting that the models are based on probable outcomes and their predictive power depends on how good the underlying data are.
