Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

27 February 2023

Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets odds, tips and betting trends

The Houston Rockets (13-47) will attempt to break a three-game home losing streak when hosting the Denver Nuggets (43-19) on Tuesday, February 28, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET.

The Nuggets head into their game against the Rockets as a 10-point favorite. The matchup features a point total of 232.5.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Betting Odds

Spread: Denver -10
Total: 232.5
Moneyline: Denver -469, Houston +364

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Nuggets at Rockets odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 10)
Pick OU:
Under (232.5)
Prediction:
Nuggets 120 – Rockets 109

Denver has been victorious in 35, or 76.1%, of the 46 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
This season, Denver has come away with a win eight times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -469 or better on the moneyline.
Denver has an implied victory probability of 82.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Houston has compiled a 13-45 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 22.4% of those games).
When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +364 or longer, Houston has gone 2-14 (12.5%).
Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Houston’s implied win probability is 21.6%.

The Nuggets average just 1.3 fewer points per game (117) than the Rockets allow (118.3).
When Denver puts up more than 118.3 points, it is 23-7-2 against the spread and 30-2 overall.
Houston is 14-9-2 against the spread and 8-17 overall when giving up fewer than 117 points.
The Rockets’ 109.7 points per game are just 3.1 fewer points than the 112.8 the Nuggets allow.
When it scores more than 112.8 points, Houston is 11-11-1 against the spread and 9-14 overall.
Denver has an ATS record of 20-5-1 and a 22-4 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 109.7 points.
The Nuggets are at the sixth spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (117 PPG), while the Rockets allow the 27th-fewest points per game (118.3) in the league.
The 29th-ranked scoring NBA team (109.7 PPG) is Houston, while the Denver squad ranks 13th in the league defensively (112.8 PPG).
The Nuggets have totaled a total of 255 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 4.2 per game), while the Rockets have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 519 total points, 8.6 per game).

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Denver’s average implied point total this year is 2.9 fewer points than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (118.1 implied points on average compared to 121 implied points in this game).
This season, Denver has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (121) 26 times.
Houston’s average implied point total on the season (118.6 points) is 7.6 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (111 points).

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