Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

25 March 2023

Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds, tips and betting trends

The Western Conference-leading Denver Nuggets (49-24) host the Eastern Conference-leading Milwaukee Bucks (53-20) at Ball Arena on Saturday, March 25, 2023. The game begins at 9:00 PM ET on NBA TV, ALT, and BSWI.

The Nuggets take on the Bucks. The Nuggets are favored by 3 points against the Bucks. The game features an over/under of 236.5.

Nuggets vs. Bucks Betting Odds

Spread: Denver -3
Total: 236.5
Moneyline: Denver -150, Milwaukee +127

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Bucks at Nuggets odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Pick ATS: Bucks (+ 3)
Pick OU:
Under (236.5)
Prediction:
Nuggets 115 – Bucks 114

Denver has come away with 41 wins in the 56 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
This year, Denver has won 38 of 49 games when listed as at least -150 or better on the moneyline.
Denver has an implied victory probability of 60% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Milwaukee has won 30.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-9).
In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +127 or longer, Milwaukee has gone 2-4 (33.3%).
Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Milwaukee has an implied win probability of 44.1%.

The 116.7 points per game the Nuggets put up are only 4.5 more points than the Bucks give up (112.2).
Denver is 33-13-2 against the spread and 43-5 overall when scoring more than 112.2 points.
When Milwaukee allows fewer than 116.7 points, it is 31-15-5 against the spread and 43-8 overall.
The Bucks’ 116.8 points per game are only 4.0 more points than the 112.8 the Nuggets give up.
Milwaukee has put together a 33-12-1 ATS record and a 39-7 overall record in games it scores more than 112.8 points.
Denver’s record is 32-14-1 against the spread and 38-9 overall when it gives up fewer than 116.8 points.
The Nuggets are the league’s eighth-ranked scoring team (116.7 PPG), while the Bucks allow the rank seventh in points per game (112.2) in NBA play.
Milwaukee is the NBA’s seventh-ranked offense (116.8 PPG), while Denver is the 11th-ranked defense (112.8).
The Nuggets have out-scored their opponents by a total of 284 points this season (3.9 points per game on average), and the Bucks have put up 341 more points than their opponents on the year (4.6 per game).

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The average implied total for Denver this season is 118.2 points, 1.8 fewer points than its implied total of 120 points in Saturday’s game.
So far this season, Denver has put up more than 120 points 31 times.
The 116.5-point average implied total on the year for Milwaukee is 0.5 fewer points than the team’s 117-point implied total in this matchup.

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