Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

14 February 2024

Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings odds, tips and betting trends

A pair of the NBA’s top players will be on show when Nikola Jokic (26.3 points per game, 12th in league) and the Denver Nuggets (36-18) welcome in De’Aaron Fox (26.7, 11th) and the Sacramento Kings (30-23) on Wednesday, February 14, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET on ALT and NBCS-CA.

The Nuggets enter their game against the Kings as a 5-point favorite. The game’s over/under is set at 229.5.

Nuggets vs. Kings Betting Odds

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 11:30 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Denver -5
Total: 229.5
Moneyline: Denver -205, Sacramento +170

Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 5)
Pick OU:
Over (229.5)
Prediction:
Nuggets 118 – Kings 113

Denver has won 34, or 73.9%, of the 46 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
This year, Denver has won 22 of 26 games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Denver has a 67.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Sacramento has put together a 6-10 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 37.5% of those games).
Sacramento has played as a moneyline underdog of +170 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
Based on this contest’s moneyline, Sacramento’s implied win probability is 37%.

The Nuggets put up 114.2 points per game, just 4.1 fewer points than the 118.3 the Kings allow.
When Denver totals more than 118.3 points, it is 14-6-1 against the spread and 18-3 overall.
Sacramento has put together a 25-14-1 ATS record and a 28-12 overall record in games it scores more than 111 points.
Denver’s record is 20-20-1 against the spread and 32-9 overall when it gives up fewer than 118.7 points.
The Nuggets are the league’s 18th-ranked scoring team (114.2 PPG), while the Kings allow the rank 22nd in points per game (118.3) in NBA play.
Sacramento’s squad is currently the seventh-ranked scoring team in the NBA (118.7 PPG), while Denver’s team is fifth in points allowed per game (111).
The Nuggets have out-scored their opponents by a total of 176 points this season (3.2 points per game on average), and the Kings have put up 22 more points than their opponents on the year (0.4 per game).

Denver’s average implied point total this season is 0.2 more points than its implied total in Wednesday’s game (117.2 implied points on average compared to 117 implied points in this game).
So far this season, Denver has recorded more than 117 points in 24 games.
The average implied point total on the season for Sacramento (120.4) is 8.4 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (112).