Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

09 April 2023

The Denver Nuggets (52-29) will try to snap a three-game losing skid when hosting the Sacramento Kings (48-33) at 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, April 9, 2023 at Ball Arena. The contest airs on ALT and NBCS-CA.

The Kings take the court as 5-point favorites against the Nuggets. The point total for the game is 230.

Kings vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

Spread: Sacramento -5
Total: 230
Moneyline: Sacramento -193, Denver +162

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Kings at Nuggets odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 5)
Pick OU:
Over (230)
Prediction:
Nuggets 119 – Kings 115

Sacramento has been the favorite in 51 games this season and has come away with the win 35 times (68.6%) in those contests.
This year, Sacramento has won 19 of 25 games when listed as at least -193 or better on the moneyline.
Sacramento has an implied victory probability of 65.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Denver has a 9-11 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45% of those games).
When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +162 or longer, Denver has gone 2-5 (28.6%).
Denver has an implied moneyline win probability of 38.2% in this contest.

The 121.0 points per game the Kings record are 8.3 more points than the Nuggets allow (112.7).
Sacramento is 40-19-1 against the spread and 45-15 overall when scoring more than 112.7 points.
When Denver gives up fewer than 121.0 points, it is 39-21-1 against the spread and 47-14 overall.
The Nuggets’ 115.9 points per game are just 2.3 fewer points than the 118.2 the Kings allow to opponents.
When it scores more than 118.2 points, Denver is 26-9-2 against the spread and 33-4 overall.
Sacramento has an ATS record of 28-8 and a 28-8 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 115.9 points.
The Kings are at the top of the NBA’s scoring charts (121.0 PPG), while the Nuggets allow the 10th-fewest points per game (112.7) in the league.
The 11th-ranked scoring NBA team (115.9 PPG) is Denver, while the Sacramento squad ranks 26th in the league defensively (118.2 PPG).
The Kings have out-scored their opponents by a total of 231 points this season (2.8 points per game on average), and the Nuggets have put up 259 more points than their opponents on the year (3.2 per game).

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Sacramento’s average implied point total this year is 2.9 more points than its implied total in Sunday’s game (120.9 implied points on average compared to 118 implied points in this game).
So far this season, Sacramento has put up more than 118 points in 49 games.
Denver’s average implied point total on the year (118.2 points) is 5.2 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (113 points).

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