Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8-10-23 MLB Picks

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10 August 2023

The Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers meet Thursday in MLB action from Comerica Park. This will be the finale in a three-game series. After a split in the first pair, on Wednesday in game three the Tigers powered out a four-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins kicked off this series with a nice 9-3 win in game one, but then fell 6-0 in a rough Tuesday matchup. Carlos Correa was the only Tigers player with more than one hit (two) in that one. On Wednesday Minnesota fell 9-5 after getting out-hit 17-7. Joey Gallo managed a homer and a pair of RBI, and Carlos Correa had a solo home run.

For the starter job in the finale the Twins will send out Kenta Maeda. Over his 12 starts so far Maeda is 3-6 with a 4.22 ERA and 72 Ks in 59.2 innings total. Maeda is 2-2 with a 2.79 ERA in his last seven starts, giving up 12 earned over 38.2 innings.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against American League opponents.
The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Max Kepler has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Max Kepler has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances.
Kenta Maeda has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Twins' last three games as favorites.
Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Tigers.
Willi Castro ranks T5th in the league in Steals (29) this season.

Detroit Tigers

Over on the Tigers’ side, they put up a nice offensive outing Tuesday on 11 team hits. Akil Baddoo, Miguel Cabrera (run) and Kerry Carpenter (two runs) each notched two hits. In game three Detroit scored two runs in four different innings. Spencer Torkelson had two solo homers and three runs in the victory.

Reese Olson will take the mound for the Tigers on Thursday. Over his 12 games (nine starts) so far Olson is 1-5 with a 4.94 ERA and 50 Ks in 54.2 innings. Olson is coming off a loss to Tampa Bay with 5.0 innings, four earned, five hits and three walks.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Tigers have covered the run line 10 of their last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 11 Thursday day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last 11 Thursday day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in two of the Tigers' last three day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Tigers' last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Riley Greene has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one total base in each of the Tigers' last nine games against the Twins.
Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers' last 11 games as underdogs against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Detroit Tigers ranks 29th in the league for runs scored this season (452).
The Detroit Tigers ranks 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.372).
The Minnesota Twins ranks 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1190).
The Minnesota Twins ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1112).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK

I’m going to stay with the Twins in this one. Maeda is doing pretty well on the mound lately; he’s got just four earned over his last three starts in 17.1 total innings. As for Olson, he’s struggled a bit in his last three with 13 earned runs over 16.0 innings for an 0-2 record. Minnesota should have some offensive shots early in this finale. On Wednesday the Twins didn’t play particularly well but there were some bright spots at the plate. I like Minnesota to bounce back and bag a victory here in the rubber match to take the series.